Match Info

Vysshaya Liga - Round 7

Date: 2 May 2025, Friday

Location: Molodechno Haradzki Stadion (Molodechno)

Referee: Poltarzhitsky V. (Blr)


	Molodechno		Naftan

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.4	1.9
	3.41	3.54	2.04
	3.4	3.3	2
	3.86	3.64	1.93	Watch
	4.5	3.6	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.69 ↓ (4.42)	3.5 ↓ (3.9)	1.89 ↑ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Molodechno
24.9%

Draw
26.3%

Naftan
48.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.5%

24.4%

54.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.7%

24.2%

53.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Molodechno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Naftan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Naftan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Molodechno than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naftan than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	16.7%	33.3%

Molodechno - Naftan Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Molodechno will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Naftan will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Naftan (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Molodechno will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Molodechno (votes: 4 - 80%). Naftan (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Okhremchuk P. (G) 2. Kutkovich G. 44. Dylevskiy A. 3. Udodov I. 17. Kats A. (C) 23. Monich I. 37. Krolik V. 29. Samotoy M. 20. Laval A. 7. Tseslyukevich P. 10. Vashkevich D.	1. Denisenko A. (G) 31. Roziev R. 3. Kostomarov N. 5. Lebedev A. 23. Kingu M. 52. Kress E. 66. Camara Y. 7. Kolyadko M. (C) 11. Pranovich I. 99. Grudko I. 10. Protasov Y.
Substitutes
77. Azatov A. 25. Azerskiy E. 22. Dukso M. 14. Koval I. 91. Lesnyak D. 43. Sadovskiy D. (G) 1. Tretyak D. (G) 19. Tychko M. 27. Usenya S. 11. Vlasov A.	88. Drabatovich A. 8. Ermakovich K. 19. Kabyshev V. 13. Kharitonovich A. (G) 92. Shchadin A. 21. Sidor I. 20. Spanderashvili N. 4. Susha A.
Coaches
Khrapkovski A.	Kriushenko I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Laval A. 🟨,
26', Laval A. ↓, Lesnyak D. ↑,
31', Protasov Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
56', 0 - 1, Protasov Y. ⚽,
57', Camara Y. 🟨,
64', Dylevskiy A. 🟨,
66', Roziev R. ↓, Spanderashvili N. ↑,
68', Vashkevich D. ↓, Azerskiy E. ↑,
68', Tseslyukevich P. ↓, Vlasov A. ↑,
69', 0 - 2, Spanderashvili N. ⚽,
72', Grudko I. 🟨,
72', Monich I. 🟨,
76', Monich I. ↓, Usenya S. ↑,
76', Krolik V. ↓, Koval I. ↑,
77', Grudko I. ↓, Ermakovich K. ↑,
83', Kingu M. ↓, Shchadin A. ↑,
83', Protasov Y. ↓, Drabatovich A. ↑,
84', Pranovich I. ↓, Susha A. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Pershaya Liga and 11).

Molodechno is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Naftan has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Naftan is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Molodechno won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 2:4).

Including home match between the teams, Molodechno won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Molodechno
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
27.04.25	Isloch Minsk - Molodechno	4:0 ✺
19.04.25	Molodechno - Vitebsk	0:4 ✺
13.04.25	Minsk - Molodechno	3:2 ✺
05.04.25	Molodechno - BATE Borisov	0:1 ✺
28.03.25	Slavia Mozyr - Molodechno	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Naftan Novopolotsk
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
26.04.25	Naftan - Smorgon	3:1 ✺
19.04.25	Isloch Minsk - Naftan	3:0 ✺
12.04.25	Naftan - ML Vitebsk	0:3 ✺
05.04.25	Vitebsk - Naftan	2:0 ✺
30.03.25	Naftan - Dinamo Brest	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Pershaya Liga
15.10.22	Naftan - Molodechno	3:1
11.06.22	Molodechno - Naftan	3:5

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