Match Info

Vysshaya Liga - Round 14

Date: 3 July 2026, Friday

Location: Atlant Stadium (Novopolotsk)


	Naftan		Dinamo Brest

	1	X	2
	6.75	4.50	1.35
	7.98	5.03	1.36
	7.90	4.95	1.34
	7.86	4.83	1.36
	6.80	4.60	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.46 ↑ (7.01)	4.78 ↑ (3.64)	1.35 ↓ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Naftan
12.4%

Draw
19.3%

Dinamo Brest
68.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.4%

25.8%

60.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13%

24.9%

63%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naftan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Dinamo Brest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dinamo Brest's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naftan than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dinamo Brest than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dinamo Brest, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Naftan - Dinamo Brest Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

1X2, 2nd Half - Dinamo Brest (1.66) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Dinamo Brest will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Dinamo Brest (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
71. Naumovich A. (G) 97. Chernyavskiy V. 3. Kostomarov N. 5. Lebedev A. 42. Jonathan J. 88. Drabatovich A. 39. Fedorenko D. 6. Adamovich K. 9. Yakovlev V. 11. Pranovich I. 24. Seleznev I.	35. Malashchitskiy I. (G) 22. Pavlovets A. 18. Stepanov N. 5. Kovel M. 6. Khralenkov E. 99. Zenkov I. 25. Lozhkin V. 44. Butarevich A. 11. Levitskiy D. 7. Bakic D. 24. Kortsov E. (C)
Substitutes
4. Abrorov S. 17. Aleksandrovich A. 7. Gadzhiev S. 13. Kharitonovich A. (G) 8. Latykhov D. 50. Mafwenta G. 25. Matvey S. 22. Pritsker M.	19. Grechikho D. 17. Gritskevich R. 30. Klachkovich M. (G) 88. Kovalevich D. 2. Rylach A. 77. Yuzepchuk R.
Coaches
Khrapkovski A.	Sednev A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 3)
1', 0 - 1, Bakic D. ⚽,
18', 0 - 2, Lozhkin V. ⚽, Bakic D. (A),
23', 0 - 3, Lozhkin V. ⚽, Zenkov I. (A),
41', 1 - 3, Adamovich K. ⚽, Pranovich I. (A),
45', 2 - 3, Pranovich I. ⚽, Jonathan J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Levitskiy D. ↓, Yuzepchuk R. ↑,
53', Chernyavskiy V. 🟨,
53', Lozhkin V. 🟨,
57', Kostomarov N. 🟨,
60', 2 - 4, Kortsov E. (Penalty Awarded),
65', Kostomarov N. 🟨,
68', Lozhkin V. ↓, Grechikho D. ↑,
69', Drabatovich A. ↓, Abrorov S. ↑,
69', Fedorenko D. ↓, Mafwenta G. ↑,
76', Adamovich K. 🟨,
80', Bakic D. ↓, Kovalevich D. ↑,
80', Khralenkov E. ↓, Glushchenkov K. ↑,
81', Chernyavskiy V. ↓, Pritsker M. ↑,
87', Kortsov E. ↓, Gritskevich R. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Pershaya Liga and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Naftan won 0.

Naftan has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Dinamo Brest's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Dinamo Brest is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Naftan won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:22. (average 1.4:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Naftan won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:16. (average 1.4:3.2).

Outrights of Belarusian Vysshaya Liga for now

Dynamo Brest: 1.63%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Dynamo Brest	23	12	4	7	38:23	15	40
16	Naftan	23	3	5	15	20:54	-34	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naftan Novopolotsk
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
27.06.26	ML Vitebsk - Naftan	2:1 ✺
19.06.26	Naftan - Baranovichi	1:0 ✺
12.06.26	Isloch Minsk - Naftan	3:1 ✺
29.05.26	Naftan - Torpedo-BelAZ	0:4 ✺
23.05.26	Belshina - Naftan	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWLLL
- Dinamo Brest
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
27.06.26	Dinamo Brest - Minsk	0:0 ✺
20.06.26	Vitebsk - Dinamo Brest	1:2 ✺
13.06.26	Dinamo Brest - Neman Grodno	1:3 ✺
30.05.26	Gomel - Dinamo Brest	2:1 ✺
23.05.26	Dinamo Brest - Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
10.08.25	Dinamo Brest - Naftan	2:0
30.03.25	Naftan - Dinamo Brest	2:2
15.09.24	Naftan - Dinamo Brest	3:6
26.04.24	Dinamo Brest - Naftan	2:2
16.09.23	Dinamo Brest - Naftan	2:2
30.04.23	Naftan - Dinamo Brest	0:3
Club Friendly
12.02.23	Naftan - Dinamo Brest	0:2

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