Match Info

Vysshaya Liga - Round 6

Date: 26 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Atlant Stadium (Novopolotsk)

Referee: Shumilov I. (Blr)


	Naftan		Smorgon

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.2	3.25
	2.16	3.25	3.52
	2.05	3.1	3.4
	2.11	3.4	3.53	Watch
	2.16	3.2	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.42)	3.23 ↓ (3.3)	3.4 ↑ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Naftan
44.2%

Draw
28.6%

Smorgon
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

28.8%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

28.6%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naftan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Smorgon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naftan than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Naftan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Smorgon than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Naftan - Smorgon Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Naftan will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Smorgon will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Denisenko A. (G) 31. Roziev R. 3. Kostomarov N. 5. Lebedev A. 23. Kingu M. 52. Kress E. 66. Camara Y. 7. Kolyadko M. 11. Pranovich I. 99. Grudko I. 10. Protasov Y.	19. Azarko M. (G) 78. Yablonskiy M. 20. Tonkevich V. 3. Intsoen C. 27. Tishko A. 2. Bamba M. 7. Levkovets A. 8. Maslovskiy V. 6. Doumbia S. 23. Stankevich A. 13. Dayneko A.
Substitutes
88. Drabatovich A. 8. Ermakovich K. 13. Kharitonovich A. (G) 17. Kopytich A. 9. Kuratnik A. 44. Sannikov A. 92. Shchadin A. 20. Spanderashvili N. 12. Zhvirblya A.	77. Bogdanovich I. 4. Diallo M. 5. Firsov A. 1. Koltygin A. (G) 63. Rakhimov A. 16. Say D. (G) 11. Slesarchuk D. 10. Sodikov S.
Coaches
Kriushenko I.	Dorokhovich S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Kingu M. ⚽, Protasov Y. (A),
32', Grudko I. 🟨,
41', 2 - 0, Grudko I. ⚽, Kingu M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Yablonskiy M. ↓, Firsov A. ↑,
46', Dayneko A. ↓, Slesarchuk D. ↑,
46', Maslovskiy V. ↓, Sodikov S. ↑,
57', Lebedev A. 🟨,
61', Roziev R. ↓, Spanderashvili N. ↑,
64', 3 - 0, Spanderashvili N. ⚽, Protasov Y. (A),
68', 3 - 1, Sodikov S. ⚽, Levkovets A. (A),
71', Sodikov S. 🟨,
74', Pranovich I. ↓, Drabatovich A. ↑,
77', Bamba M. ↓, Rakhimov A. ↑,
86', Doumbia S. ↓, Diallo M. ↑,
89', Sodikov S. 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 in the zone Vysshaya Liga (Relegation) and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Pershaya Liga).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Naftan won 0.

Naftan is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Smorgon has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Smorgon have a series of guest games.

Naftan will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Naftan won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9:7 (average 1.1:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Naftan won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:4 (average 1.8:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naftan Novopolotsk
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
19.04.25	Isloch Minsk - Naftan	3:0 ✺
12.04.25	Naftan - ML Vitebsk	0:3 ✺
05.04.25	Vitebsk - Naftan	2:0 ✺
30.03.25	Naftan - Dinamo Brest	2:2 ✺
13.03.25	Minsk - Naftan	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LLLTW
- FC Smorgon
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
21.04.25	ML Vitebsk - Smorgon	3:1 ✺
13.04.25	Dinamo Brest - Smorgon	2:0 ✺
06.04.25	Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk - Smorgon	1:1 ✺
29.03.25	Slutsk - Smorgon	2:0 ✺
16.03.25	Dinamo Minsk - Smorgon	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
24.08.24	Smorgon - Naftan	1:0
14.04.24	Naftan - Smorgon	1:1
24.09.23	Naftan - Smorgon	2:2
07.05.23	Smorgon - Naftan	1:0
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
04.11.20	Smorgon - Naftan	1:0
24.05.20	Naftan - Smorgon	0:1
25.05.19	Naftan - Smorgon	5:0

Upcoming Matches