Match Info

Super League - Round 27

Date: 3 April 2026, Friday


	Mombasa United		Vihiga United

	1	X	2
	1.23	5.15	9.4
	1.25	5.16	9.05
	1.38	4.39	7.36	Watch
	1.25	4.6	11
	1.23	4.95	11.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.32)	4.85 ↑ (4.6)	9.68 ↑ (8.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mombasa United
71.8%

Draw
18.8%

Vihiga United
9.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.5%

19.9%

10.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.8%

18.7%

9.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mombasa United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Vihiga United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mombasa United than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vihiga United than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Mombasa United - Vihiga United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Mombasa United has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Vihiga United's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Mombasa United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Mombasa United is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mombasa United won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Mombasa United	36	23	3	10	49:31	18	72
19	Vihiga United	36	9	8	19	28:53	-25	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mombasa United
Kenyan Super League
29.03.26	Mombasa United - MCF	3:1 ✺
15.03.26	Mombasa United - Kabati	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Equity Bank - Mombasa United	0:3 ✺
27.02.26	Mombasa United - MOFA	1:0 ✺
20.02.26	Darajani Gogo - Mombasa United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWWWW
- Vihiga United
Kenyan Super League
29.03.26	Vihiga United - Kabati	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	MOFA - Vihiga United	3:2 ✺
14.03.26	Kibera Black Stars - Vihiga United	0:1 ✺
08.03.26	Vihiga United - Migori Youth	0:2 ✺
01.03.26	Fortune Sacco - Vihiga United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.9 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Super League
24.01.26	Vihiga United - Mombasa United	1:3

Mombasa United - Vihiga United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide