Match Info

Super League - Round 23

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday


	Equity Bank		Mombasa United

	1	X	2
	2.56	2.74	2.86
	2.5	2.63	2.8
	2.46	3.1	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.41)	2.82 ↓ (2.93)	2.84 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Equity Bank
36.1%

Draw
32%

Mombasa United
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

30.7%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

32.7%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Equity Bank has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Mombasa United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Equity Bank than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mombasa United than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Equity Bank - Mombasa United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
2nd Half (0 - 1)

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).

Equity Bank has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Mombasa United is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Equity Bank won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Mombasa United	36	23	3	10	49:31	18	72
4	Equity Bank	36	20	11	5	53:26	27	71

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Equity Bank FC
Kenyan Super League
22.02.26	Equity Bank - Kibera Black Stars	2:1 ✺
24.01.26	Talanta - Equity Bank	0:0 ✺
17.01.26	Equity Bank - Gucha Stars	3:2 ✺
11.01.26	MOFA - Equity Bank	1:1 ✺
07.01.26	Soy United - Equity Bank	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WTWTL
- Mombasa United
Kenyan Super League
27.02.26	Mombasa United - MOFA	1:0 ✺
20.02.26	Darajani Gogo - Mombasa United	1:2 ✺
15.02.26	Mombasa United - Kisumu All-Stars	4:0 ✺
01.02.26	Kabati - Mombasa United	0:1 ✺
24.01.26	Vihiga United - Mombasa United	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Super League
22.11.25	Mombasa United - Equity Bank	2:0

Equity Bank - Mombasa United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide