Match Info

Super League - Round 21

Date: 20 February 2026, Friday


	Darajani Gogo		Mombasa United

	1	X	2
	2.92	2.75	2.5
	2.74	2.96	2.61	Watch
	2.8	2.8	2.4
	2.83	3.09	2.47
	2.71	2.9	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.71)	2.9 (2.9)	2.48 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Darajani Gogo
32.3%

Draw
31.2%

Mombasa United
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

30.5%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

30.5%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darajani Gogo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Mombasa United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darajani Gogo than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mombasa United than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Darajani Gogo - Mombasa United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).

Darajani Gogo is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Mombasa United is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Darajani Gogo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Mombasa United	36	23	3	10	49:31	18	72
17	Darajani Gogo	36	8	8	20	22:47	-25	32

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Darajani Gogo
Kenyan Super League
15.02.26	Mwatate United - Darajani Gogo	2:2 ✺
31.01.26	Darajani Gogo - Talanta	0:1 ✺
18.01.26	Kabati - Darajani Gogo	1:0 ✺
12.01.26	Darajani Gogo - Nzoia United	1:4 ✺
07.01.26	Darajani Gogo - Gucha Stars	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TLLLT
- Mombasa United
Kenyan Super League
15.02.26	Mombasa United - Kisumu All-Stars	4:0 ✺
01.02.26	Kabati - Mombasa United	0:1 ✺
24.01.26	Vihiga United - Mombasa United	1:3 ✺
18.01.26	Mombasa United - Kibera Black Stars	2:0 ✺
11.01.26	Soy United - Mombasa United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Super League
10.11.25	Mombasa United - Darajani Gogo	2:1

Darajani Gogo - Mombasa United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide