Match Info

Date: 2 August 2022, Tuesday

Location: Stade Louis II (Monaco)

Referee: Massa D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport
Netherlands	ESPN
Serbia	Arena Sport


	Monaco		PSV Eindhoven

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.6	3.2	Watch
	2.15	3.6	3.2
	2.2	3.6	3.2
	2.12	3.65	3.1
	2.22	3.63	3.25
	2.1	3.6	3.25	Watch
	2.26	3.8	3.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (2.16)	3.64 ↑ (3.4)	3.23 ↓ (3.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 0.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Monaco
44.1%

Draw
26.3%

PSV Eindhoven
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

28.2%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9%

29.8%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monaco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

PSV Eindhoven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PSV Eindhoven than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
59.5%	21.5%	19%

Monaco - PSV Eindhoven Predictions

Users Predictions: 79 users predict this event. Monaco will win (votes: 47 - 59.5%). PSV will win (votes: 15 - 19%). It will Tie (votes: 17 - 21.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monaco: 48.7% – 70.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

1st leg.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Monaco could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Monaco have a series of guest games.

Monaco will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Monaco won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Monaco won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Monaco
Club Friendly
27.07.22	Southampton - Monaco	3:1 ✺
23.07.22	Porto - Monaco	2:1 ✺
16.07.22	Inter Milan - Monaco	2:2 ✺
09.07.22	Portimonense - Monaco	0:2 ✺
06.07.22	Monaco - Austria Wien	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLTWT
- PSV Eindhoven
Dutch Super Cup
30.07.22	Ajax - PSV Eindhoven	3:5 ✺
Club Friendly
23.07.22	PSV Eindhoven - Betis	2:1 ✺
19.07.22	PSV Eindhoven - FC Eindhoven	5:0 ✺
16.07.22	PSV Eindhoven - Villarreal	1:2 ✺
09.07.22	Arminia Bielefeld - PSV Eindhoven	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
04.11.21	Monaco - PSV Eindhoven	0:0
21.10.21	PSV Eindhoven - Monaco	1:2
Club Friendly
16.07.17	Monaco - PSV Eindhoven	0:0
17.07.15	Monaco - PSV Eindhoven	3:1

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