Match Info

Liga FUTVE - Clausura - Round 8

Date: 6 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Monumental de Maturín (Maturín)


	Monagas		Metropolitanos

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	3.25	2.90
	2.20	3.20	2.80
	2.30	3.30	3.03
	2.25	3.35	3.13	Watch
	2.20	3.25	3.00
	2.14	3.54	3.13	Watch
	2.26	3.30	3.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.67)	3.31 ↑ (3.17)	3 ↑ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Monagas
41.5%

Draw
27.8%

Metropolitanos
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

29.4%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

29.7%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monagas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Monagas's performance.

Metropolitanos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monagas than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Monagas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metropolitanos than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Monagas - Metropolitanos Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Monagas will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Monagas (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Riveros T. (G) 30. De La Hoz K. 4. Maitan M. 21. Rodas A. 29. Henry N. 6. Romero A. (C) 5. Colorado J. 20. Diaz H. 70. Arace R. 9. Rodriguez R. 16. Carrion E.	1. Yustiz Y. (G) 3. Rivillo D. 4. Ferro A. (C) 2. Manenti F. 19. Ramirez I. 21. Garces R. 15. Zalzman D. 88. Figueroa R. 10. Ramirez J. 30. Navarro J. 9. Ortiz K.
Substitutes
26. Castillo D. 27. Farias E. 10. Gonzalez L. 14. Jaramillo F. 33. Lima E. (G) 35. Natera S. 17. Paz J. 3. Queiroz F. 8. Ramirez C. 77. Rodriguez L. 19. Romero A. 11. Uruena B.	99. Bianciotti A. 32. Camarillo C. 23. Diaz M. 24. Jaimes A. 22. Lara J. (G) 7. Miku 14. Perez L. 11. Ramirez S. 5. Sangiovani R. 17. Valderrey E. 18. Vargas J.
Coaches
Ortiz J.	Stifano F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Riveros T. 🟨,
19', Ferro A. (Penalty Awarded),
33', Arace R. 🟨,
44', Navarro J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Carrion E. ↓, Castillo D. ↑,
57', Diaz H. ↓, Gonzalez L. ↑,
57', Arace R. ↓, Uruena B. ↑,
58', Navarro J. ↓, Diaz M. ↑,
58', Figueroa R. ↓, Ramirez S. ↑,
68', Ramirez J. ↓, Miku ↑,
68', Garces R. ↓, Sangiovani R. ↑,
71', Romero A. ↓, Ramirez C. ↑,
71', Rodas A. ↓, Paz J. ↑,
71', Castillo D. 🟨,
79', 0 - 1, Miku ⚽,
83', Ortiz K. ↓, Bianciotti A. ↑,
88', Bianciotti A. 🟨,
90', Uruena B. 🟨,
90+2', Sangiovani R. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monagas won 2.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Metropolitanos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Monagas won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 29:28. (average 1.5:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Monagas won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 1.1:1.6).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Metropolitanos	11	9	1	1	24:9	15	28
9	Monagas	11	4	2	5	12:13	-1	14

Last Results with these Odds

Metropolitanos - the odds 2.62 are the expected chance of winning is 35.62%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Monagas SC
Venezuelan Primera Division
03.09.26	Academia Anzoátegui - Monagas	1:3 ✺
30.08.26	Trujillanos - Monagas	3:1 ✺
Copa Venezuela
26.08.26	Bolivar - Monagas	1:3 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
23.08.26	Monagas - Portuguesa Acarígua	0:0 ✺
Copa Venezuela
19.08.26	Monagas - Mineros de Guayana	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLWTW
- Metropolitanos FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
03.09.26	Metropolitanos - Trujillanos	4:1 ✺
30.08.26	Portuguesa Acarígua - Metropolitanos	2:2 ✺
22.08.26	Metropolitanos - Deportivo Táchira	3:1 ✺
16.08.26	Carabobo - Metropolitanos	1:0 ✺
05.08.26	Deportivo La Guaira - Metropolitanos	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
18.03.26	Metropolitanos - Monagas	1:0
30.08.25	Monagas - Metropolitanos	2:0
30.03.25	Metropolitanos - Monagas	2:2
17.07.24	Metropolitanos - Monagas	1:2
Copa Venezuela
14.07.24	Monagas - Metropolitanos	0:2
Venezuelan Primera Division
03.02.24	Monagas - Metropolitanos	2:4
08.07.23	Metropolitanos - Monagas	3:2

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