Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 12

Date: 15 December 2024, Sunday


	Serpa		Estrela da Amadora B

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.3	3.7
	1.8	3.4	4
	1.96	3.3	3.69
	1.84	3.32	3.93
	1.8	3.4	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.69)	3.34 ↓ (3.5)	3.86 ↓ (4.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Serpa
49.3%

Draw
27.2%

Estrela da Amadora B
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

25.9%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7%

25.4%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Serpa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Estrela da Amadora B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Serpa than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Serpa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estrela da Amadora B than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Serpa - Estrela da Amadora B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, ⚽,
9', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
67', 2 - 1, ⚽,
83', 3 - 1, ⚽,
83', 3 - 2, ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Serpa
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
08.12.24	Sintrense - Serpa	1:0 ✺
30.11.24	Serpa - Louletano	1:3 ✺
10.11.24	Comércio e Indústria - Serpa	0:1 ✺
03.11.24	Serpa - Moncarapachense	2:0 ✺
27.10.24	Estrela Vendas Novas - Serpa	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLWWW
- Estrela da Amadora B
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
07.12.24	Estrela da Amadora B - Moura	2:2 ✺
30.11.24	Amora - Estrela da Amadora B	2:1 ✺
17.11.24	Operário Ferroviario - Estrela da Amadora B	0:1 ✺
10.11.24	Estrela da Amadora B - Lagoa	1:1 ✺
03.11.24	Estrela da Amadora B - Barreirense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TLWTW

Serpa - Estrela da Amadora B: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide