Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 2

Date: 17 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Complexo Desportivo Manuel Baião (Serpa)


	Serpa		Lagoa

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.4	3.2
	1.92	3.5	3.25
	1.9	3.6	3.24
	1.93	3.4	3.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.59)	3.48 ↓ (3.6)	3.3 ↓ (5.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Serpa
46.8%

Draw
25.9%

Lagoa
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

25.2%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Serpa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Serpa's form might have worsened.

Lagoa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lagoa's recent form is better than expected.

Serpa - Lagoa Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Lagoa (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lagoa will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Lagoa (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
35', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
61', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+6', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Lagoa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Serpa is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Serpa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Including home match between the teams, Serpa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Serpa
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
09.08.25	Alcochetense - Serpa	1:0 ✺
13.04.25	Serpa - Lagoa	4:2 ✺
06.04.25	Estrela da Amadora B - Serpa	2:3 ✺
29.03.25	Serpa - Sintrense	0:1 ✺
16.03.25	Louletano - Serpa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWWLL
- Lagoa
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
10.08.25	Lagoa - Sintrense	1:2 ✺
13.04.25	Serpa - Lagoa	4:2 ✺
06.04.25	Lagoa - Moura	0:1 ✺
29.03.25	Amora - Lagoa	1:0 ✺
16.03.25	Barreirense - Lagoa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
13.04.25	Serpa - Lagoa	4:2
05.01.25	Lagoa - Serpa	0:0

Serpa - Lagoa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide