Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 26

Date: 13 April 2025, Sunday


	Barreirense		Moncarapachense

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.4	1.77
	3.95	3.5	1.78
	4.78	3.4	1.68
	3.95	3.5	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.12 ↑ (3.95)	3.45 ↑ (3.25)	1.75 ↓ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barreirense
22%

Draw
26.3%

Moncarapachense
51.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.7%

27.6%

49.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.3%

27.2%

50.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barreirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Moncarapachense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barreirense than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moncarapachense than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Barreirense - Moncarapachense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, ⚽,
12', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 5).

Barreirense is Relegated to

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Moncarapachense is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Barreirense won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:13 (average 1.2:2.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Barreirense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Barreirense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
06.04.25	Amora - Barreirense	1:0 ✺
29.03.25	Estrela Vendas Novas - Barreirense	2:3 ✺
16.03.25	Barreirense - Lagoa	1:1 ✺
09.03.25	Fabril do Barreiro - Barreirense	1:1 ✺
02.03.25	Barreirense - Estrela da Amadora B	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWTTW
- Lusitano Ginásio Clube Moncarapachense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
06.04.25	Moncarapachense - Estrela Vendas Novas	6:1 ✺
29.03.25	Fabril do Barreiro - Moncarapachense	0:0 ✺
16.03.25	Moncarapachense - Operário	3:1 ✺
09.03.25	Lusitano GC - Moncarapachense	4:0 ✺
02.03.25	Moncarapachense - Serpa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
05.01.25	Moncarapachense - Barreirense	3:2
24.03.24	Moncarapachense - Barreirense	1:1
10.12.23	Barreirense - Moncarapachense	0:1
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
13.02.22	Moncarapachense - Barreirense	6:1
28.11.21	Barreirense - Moncarapachense	2:2

Barreirense - Moncarapachense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide