Match Info

BGL Ligue - Round 20

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Stade John Grun (Mondorf-les-Bains)


	Mondorf-les-Bains		Racing Luxembourg

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.3	2.92
	2.17	3.4	3.17
	2.15	3.45	3.02	Watch
	2.15	3	2.9
	2.12	3.25	3.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.43)	3.28 ↓ (3.42)	3.02 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Mondorf-les-Bains
42.3%

Draw
27.7%

Racing Luxembourg
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

26.9%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

26.4%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mondorf-les-Bains has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Racing Luxembourg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Racing Luxembourg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mondorf-les-Bains than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Luxembourg than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Mondorf les Bains - Racing Luxembourg Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Mondorf (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Mondorf (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Machado J. (C) 23. Baal L. 8. Bourigeaud A. 32. Deher M. 9. Fournier L. 19. Godart Y. 6. Knoepffler A. 7. Lopes S. 70. Matias Y. 66. Steinmetz C. 18. Stoltz L.	16. Ruffier R. (G) 77. Dewalque L. 11. Diakhite A. 20. Fonrose F. 6. Freire B. 3. Hofland M. 10. Ikene F. (C) 4. Kada J. 8. Kante M. 29. Matuvangua R. 7. Stolz D.
Substitutes
10. Cervellera Y. 33. Clausse L. 14. Daham S. 11. Issaka C. 29. Kumbi J. 13. Rodrigues D. (G) 72. Tinelli L.	99. Azemi E. (G) 40. Ballicalioglu V. 23. Lukoki W. 21. Mabanza C. 31. Matubanzila S. 30. Monge N. 19. Qevani A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
2nd Half (1 - 1)

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mondorf won 1.

Mondorf is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Racing Luxembourg has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Mondorf may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Mondorf might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mondorf won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 14 matches, and goals 20:37. (average 1:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Mondorf won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:22. (average 1.3:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Mondorf	8	6	0	2	16:11	5	18
4	Racing Luxembourg	8	5	2	1	21:8	13	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Mondorf-les-Bains
Luxembourg Cup
04.03.26	Atert Bissen - Mondorf-les-Bains	2:1 ✺
Luxembourg National Division
28.02.26	Mamer - Mondorf-les-Bains	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	Mondorf-les-Bains - Atert Bissen	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Käerjéng 97 - Mondorf-les-Bains	1:2 ✺
08.02.26	Mondorf-les-Bains - Progrès Niedercorn	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWWWW
- Racing Luxembourg
Luxembourg Cup
04.03.26	Racing Luxembourg - Jeunesse Canach	3:2 ET ✺
Luxembourg National Division
01.03.26	Racing Luxembourg - F91 Dudelange	1:2 ✺
21.02.26	Jeunesse Esch - Racing Luxembourg	3:2 ✺
14.02.26	Racing Luxembourg - Differdange 03	0:2 ✺
08.02.26	Jeunesse Canach - Racing Luxembourg	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Luxembourg National Division
14.09.25	Racing Luxembourg - Mondorf-les-Bains	0:2
16.03.25	Mondorf-les-Bains - Racing Luxembourg	0:1
21.09.24	Racing Luxembourg - Mondorf-les-Bains	3:0
26.05.24	Racing Luxembourg - Mondorf-les-Bains	1:1
06.08.23	Mondorf-les-Bains - Racing Luxembourg	1:3
Luxembourg Cup
26.04.23	Mondorf-les-Bains - Racing Luxembourg	1:0
Luxembourg National Division
12.02.23	Mondorf-les-Bains - Racing Luxembourg	0:1

Upcoming Matches