The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Monopoli 51%
Draw 29.2%
Cavese 19.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.6%
28%
25.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.5%
26.9%
24.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Monopoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
Cavese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cavese might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monopoli than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cavese than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
91.7%
8.3%
0%
Monopoli - Cavese Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -0.5 - Monopoli (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Monopoli will win
(11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%). Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% โ 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Monopoli will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) ๐ฅ Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Monopoli (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Piana E. (G) 77. Viteritti O. 6. Miceli M. 5. Angileri A. 99. Imputato A. 72. Lattanzi L. 37. Bordo L. 23. Falzerano M. 31. Oyewale S. 10. Volpe G. 17. Tirelli M.
12. Boffelli V. (G) 13. Evangelisti N. 15. Cionek T. 27. Loreto C. 28. Macchi M. 23. Munari D. 21. Fornito G. 11. Diarrassouba A. 24. Orlando F. 7. Sorrentino D. 16. Ubaldi L.
Substitutes
1. Albertazzi M. (G) 8. Battocchio C. 4. Bizzotto N. 19. Calcagni R. 20. Cascella R. 11. Fall M. 15. Greco J. 18. Paukstys S. 35. Piccinini S. 34. Ronco D. 33. Rossi D. 12. Silvestris E. (G) 85. Spano R. 16. Valenti B.
77. Amerighi I. 5. Awua T. 8. Barone M. 73. Bolcano D. 70. D'Incoronato F. 2. Di Paola M. 10. Fella G. 82. Fusco G. 9. Guida A. 33. Iuliano S. (G) 22. Manzo F. (G) 17. Nunziata F. 14. Pelamatti A. 4. Suplja E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
38', Fornito G. 🟨,
40', 0 - 1, Macchi M. ⚽,
45+5', Evangelisti N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Lattanzi L. ↓, Greco J. ↑,
46', Angileri A. ↓, Battocchio C. ↑,
47', 0 - 2, Sorrentino D. ⚽,
64', Volpe G. ↓, Fall M. ↑,
69', Ubaldi L. ↓, Guida A. ↑,
69', Sorrentino D. ↓, Fella G. ↑,
72', Diarrassouba A. 🟨,
74', Boffelli V. 🟨,
75', Bordo L. ↓, Calcagni R. ↑,
78', Munari D. ↓, Awua T. ↑,
78', Orlando F. ↓, Fusco G. ↑,
88', Falzerano M. ↓, Spano R. ↑,
90+1', Diarrassouba A. ↓, Pelamatti A. ↑,
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 20 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monopoli won 4.
Monopoli is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Cavese has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
Cavese may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Monopoli could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Monopoli won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Monopoli won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
Italy
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Piana E. (G) 
Oyewale S. 
Cionek T. 
Diarrassouba A. 
Fall M. 
Paukstys S. 
Spano R. 
Valenti B. 
Suplja E. 
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