Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 16

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday


	Montañeros		Boiro

	1	X	2
	3.25	2.98	2.12
	8.46	4.64	1.34	Watch
	3.25	2.9	2.15
	3.25	3.13	2.11
	3.33	3.1	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.31 ↑ (2.64)	3.35 ↑ (3.15)	1.96 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montañeros
22.3%

Draw
28.7%

Boiro
49%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

28.9%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

28.9%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montañeros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Montañeros's form might have worsened.

Boiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Boiro's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montañeros than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Montañeros, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boiro than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Boiro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Montañeros - Boiro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Samu ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
68', 1 - 1, ⚽,
89', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: )).

Montañeros is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Boiro is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Boiro	5	3	1	1	10:6	4	10
18	Montaneros	5	1	0	4	7:11	-4	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Coruña Montañeros
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
21.12.25	Barco - Montañeros	0:1 ✺
13.12.25	Montañeros - Compostela	0:1 ✺
06.12.25	Estradense - Montañeros	0:1 ✺
22.11.25	Montañeros - Somozas	1:0 ✺
16.11.25	Viveiro - Montañeros	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 WLWWT
- CD Boiro
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
21.12.25	Boiro - Arosa	3:0 ✺
13.12.25	Atlético Arteixo - Boiro	0:1 ✺
06.12.25	Boiro - Noia	4:0 ✺
23.11.25	RC Villalbes - Boiro	0:0 ✺
16.11.25	Boiro - Barbadás	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WWWTW

Montañeros - Boiro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide