The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Boiro 42.1%
Draw 31.2%
Arosa 26.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.7%
30.9%
31.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.2%
27.6%
28.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Boiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
Arosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boiro than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arosa than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Boiro - Arosa Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, ⚽,
43', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
74', 3 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: )).
Boiro is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Arosa's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Arosa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Boiro won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Boiro won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).