Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 11

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday


	Boiro		Barbadás

	1	X	2
	1.47	3.7	6.1
	1.41	4.17	7.35
	1.10	8.02	20.56	Watch
	1.43	3.82	7.11
	1.64	3.55	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.62)	4.65 ↑ (3.5)	9.2 ↑ (5.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boiro
68.7%

Draw
20.8%

Barbadás
10.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

26%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

25%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Boiro's performance.

Barbadás has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barbadás might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boiro than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Boiro that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barbadás than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barbadás could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Boiro - Barbadás Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Boiro has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Barbadás has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Boiro is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Boiro won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Boiro won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Boiro
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
09.11.25	Alondras - Boiro	2:2 ✺
02.11.25	Boiro - Lugo B	1:2 ✺
26.10.25	Gran Peña - Boiro	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Boiro - Silva SD	1:0 ✺
12.10.25	Céltiga - Boiro	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TLLWW
- UD Barbadás
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
09.11.25	Barbadás - Barco	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Compostela - Barbadás	1:1 ✺
26.10.25	Barbadás - Estradense	0:4 ✺
19.10.25	Somozas - Barbadás	3:0 ✺
12.10.25	Barbadás - Montañeros	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
27.04.25	Boiro - Barbadás	2:1
15.12.24	Barbadás - Boiro	0:1

Boiro - Barbadás: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide