Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 - Round 9

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday


	Montañesa		Vilanova

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.52	3.1	2.52
	2.45	3.04	2.91	Watch
	2.58	3.14	2.46
	2.64	3.2	2.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (2.5)	3.12 ↓ (3.2)	2.58 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montañesa
35.7%

Draw
29.1%

Vilanova
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

28.1%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

28.7%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montañesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Vilanova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montañesa than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Vilanova aligns with the current prediction.

Montañesa - Vilanova Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 5 (Play Offs: )).

Montañesa is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Vilanova is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Montañesa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Montañesa
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
26.10.25	LEscala - Montañesa	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Montañesa - Vilassar de Mar	2:2 ✺
12.10.25	Mollerussa - Montañesa	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	Montañesa - San Cristóbal	2:3 ✺
27.09.25	Cornellà - Montañesa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LTTLT
- CF Vilanova
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
25.10.25	Vilanova - Cerdanyola del Vallès	2:0 ✺
19.10.25	Peralada - Vilanova	1:0 ✺
12.10.25	Vilanova - Vic	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	LHospitalet - Vilanova	0:2 ✺
28.09.25	Vilanova - Manresa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 WLTWW

Montañesa - Vilanova: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide