Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 - Round 6

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday


	Vilanova		Vic

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.25	3.9
	1.98	3.1	4.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.64)	3.18 ↓ (3.5)	4.02 ↓ (5.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vilanova
47.7%

Draw
29.2%

Vic
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.9%

26.2%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5%

25%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vilanova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vilanova's form might have worsened.

Vic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vic's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilanova than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vilanova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vic than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Vilanova - Vic Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Vic (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 1 - 0, Raventos J. ⚽,
39', 1 - 1, Quer I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
81', 🟥,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 5 (Play Offs: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Vilanova is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Vic is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Vilanova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Vilanova is seen as the favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Vilanova
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
04.10.25	LHospitalet - Vilanova	0:2 ✺
28.09.25	Vilanova - Manresa	1:0 ✺
21.09.25	CE Europa B - Vilanova	1:2 ✺
13.09.25	Vilanova - Grama	1:3 ✺
06.09.25	Tona - Vilanova	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.4 WWWLT
- UE Vic
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
05.10.25	Vic - LEscala	1:2 ✺
28.09.25	Vilassar de Mar - Vic	3:0 ✺
20.09.25	Vic - Mollerussa	2:2 ✺
14.09.25	San Cristóbal - Vic	1:1 ✺
06.09.25	Vic - Cornellà	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLTTL

Vilanova - Vic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide