The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Montañeses 44.3%
Draw 27.9%
La Piedad 27.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.2%
27.6%
21.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.8%
26.8%
20.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Montañeses has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Montañeses's form might have worsened.
La Piedad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting La Piedad's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montañeses than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Montañeses, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Piedad than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for La Piedad, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Preview
This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: ) and 12).
Montañeses is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches La Piedad is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Montañeses could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Montañeses is a favorite.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Montañeses won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.
Including matches at home between the teams Montañeses won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.