Match Info

efbet League - Round 27

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Ogosta Stadium (Montana)

Referee: Kabakov G. (Bul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Croatia	SportKlub 2


	Montana		Beroe Stara Zagora

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.85	3.4	Watch
	2.2	3.2	3.1
	2.2	3	3.3
	2.31	3	3.61
	2.21	3.09	3.48	Watch
	2.25	2.8	3.25
	2.21	3.02	3.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (2.22)	2.99 ↑ (2.98)	3.37 ↑ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montana
41.5%

Draw
31%

Beroe Stara Zagora
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

31%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

29.8%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Montana have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Beroe Stara Zagora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montana than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beroe Stara Zagora than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	41.7%	25%

Montana - Beroe Stara Zagora Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Montana will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Beroe will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 13.8% – 69.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Montana (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rosa M. (G) 16. Carmona Sierra D. 13. Soares J. 18. Iliev K. 14. Burov D. 23. Tungarov A. (C) 24. Tsingaras A. 27. Azevedo T. 10. Todorov A. 7. Dimitrov B. 9. Ejike P.	13. Valens J. (G) 12. Valverde D. 30. Brunelli S. 3. Salomoni J. 23. Sonha T. 4. Costantini F. (C) 25. Johny 11. Ferrer I. 17. Dual W. 7. Pineda J. 15. Alarcon F.
Substitutes
21. Andreev P. 8. Atanasov P. 25. James S. 17. Kokonov I. 3. Linner A. 5. Markov I. 30. Simeonov V. (G) 26. Slavchev R. 19. Tsekov Dimitrov V.	1. Arthur (G) 8. Borgnino M. 27. Dabo A. 24. Gavrilov S. 19. Kuhinja E. 10. Nene 9. Valbuena Y. 32. Varela F. 16. Yovkov S.
Coaches
Atanasov A.	Uribe J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Brunelli S. 🟨,
27', Carmona Sierra D. 🟨,
35', Azevedo T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Johny ↓, Varela F. ↑,
46', Dual W. ↓, Borgnino M. ↑,
50', Alarcon F. 🟨,
55', 0 - 1, Borgnino M. (Penalty Awarded),
57', Dimitrov B. ↓, Kokonov I. ↑,
61', Valverde D. 🟨,
68', Ejike P. ↓, Atanasov P. ↑,
73', Alarcon F. ↓, Nene ↑,
79', Carmona Sierra D. ↓, Tsekov Dimitrov V. ↑,
85', Atanasov P. 🟨,
89', Pineda J. ↓, Kuhinja E. ↑,
90', Brunelli S. 🟨,
90+4', Ferrer I. ↓, Yovkov S. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: ) and 15 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: )).

Montana is efbet League (Relegation Group )

Beroe is efbet League (Relegation Group )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montana won 0.

Montana has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Beroe is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Montana will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Montana won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:19. (average 0.8:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Montana won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 0.8:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Montana
Bulgarian Parva Liga
15.03.26	Cherno More Varna - Montana	1:0 ✺
09.03.26	Montana - Ludogorets Razgrad	0:3 ✺
03.03.26	Spartak Varna - Montana	1:0 ✺
27.02.26	Montana - Botev Plovdiv	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Dobrudzha Dobrich - Montana	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLTL
- Beroe Stara Zagora
Bulgarian Parva Liga
15.03.26	Beroe Stara Zagora - Levski Sofia	0:1 ✺
08.03.26	Dobrudzha Dobrich - Beroe Stara Zagora	1:0 ✺
03.03.26	Beroe Stara Zagora - Slavia Sofia	0:3 ✺
28.02.26	Botev Vratsa - Beroe Stara Zagora	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Beroe Stara Zagora - Arda Kardzhali	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Parva Liga
20.10.25	Beroe Stara Zagora - Montana	1:1
24.04.21	Montana - Beroe Stara Zagora	1:1
19.12.20	Beroe Stara Zagora - Montana	0:0
17.03.17	Montana - Beroe Stara Zagora	0:3
29.10.16	Beroe Stara Zagora - Montana	2:1
10.04.16	Montana - Beroe Stara Zagora	1:3
06.12.15	Beroe Stara Zagora - Montana	2:1

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