Match Info

efbet League - Round 24

Date: 3 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Stadion Spartak (Varna)

Referee: Kabakov G. (Bul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra


	Spartak Varna		Montana

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.2	2.82	Watch
	2.42	3.1	2.78
	2.62	3.2	2.91
	2.48	3.18	2.9	Watch
	2.4	2.9	2.8
	2.52	3.02	2.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (2.1)	3.1 ↓ (3.22)	2.84 ↓ (3.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spartak Varna
37.4%

Draw
29.9%

Montana
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

29%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spartak Varna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Spartak Varna's form might have worsened.

Montana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Montana's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	13.3%	20%

Spartak Varna - Montana Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Spartak Varna will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Montana will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Spartak Varna: 42.8% – 90.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Spartak Varna (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Montana (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Montana (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Montana (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH +1 - Montana (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Montana (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Spartak Varna (votes: 4 - 40%). Montana (votes: 5 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Kovalyov M. (G) 50. Georgiev M. 3. Juric-Petrasilo M. 44. Granchov A. 2. Ivanov B. 88. Jordanov D. 17. Marinov T. 10. Lopes J. 29. Tailson 21. Xande 9. Chunchukov T.	1. Rosa M. (G) 3. Linner A. 13. Soares J. 18. Iliev K. 16. Carmona Sierra D. 23. Tungarov A. 24. Tsingaras A. 10. Todorov A. 14. Burov D. 7. Dimitrov B. 9. Ejike P.
Substitutes
11. Georgiev A. 8. Ivanov D. 6. John E. 18. Moukachar S. 7. Prindzhev P. 1. Ribeiro P. (G) 90. Stojanovski G. 13. Tales 19. Yanchev E.	15. Acheampong C. 27. Azevedo T. 20. Balde U. 22. Beji 5. Markov I. 6. Sakor V. 30. Simeonov V. (G) 26. Slavchev R. 11. Vitinho
Coaches
Hadzievski G.	Vavalis A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Carmona Sierra D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Dimitrov B. ↓, Vitinho ↑,
48', Tungarov A. 🟨,
64', Granchov A. 🟨,
64', Rosa M. 🟨,
67', Todorov A. ↓, Azevedo T. ↑,
67', Carmona Sierra D. ↓, Sakor V. ↑,
70', Georgiev M. ↓, Prindzhev P. ↑,
70', Chunchukov T. ↓, Stojanovski G. ↑,
74', Tailson 🟥,
75', Iliev K. 🟨,
81', Prindzhev P. 🟨,
90', 1 - 0, Stojanovski G. ⚽, Granchov A. (A),
90+1', Linner A. ↓, Balde U. ↑,
90+4', Yordanov D. ↓, John E. ↑,
90+4', Lopes J. ↓, Yanchev E. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: ) and 16 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spartak Varna won 3.

Spartak Varna is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Recently, Spartak Varna has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Spartak Varna won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 1.3:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Spartak Varna won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).

Outrights of Bulgarian Parva Liga for now

Spartak Varna: 0.16%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Spartak Varna	10	2	4	4	10:15	-5	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spartak Varna
Bulgarian Parva Liga
27.02.26	Arda Kardzhali - Spartak Varna	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Spartak Varna	1:1 ✺
13.02.26	Spartak Varna - Lokomotiv Sofia	2:2 ✺
07.02.26	Cherno More Varna - Spartak Varna	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
28.01.26	Botev Plovdiv - Spartak Varna	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 LTTTL
- FC Montana
Bulgarian Parva Liga
27.02.26	Montana - Botev Plovdiv	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Dobrudzha Dobrich - Montana	1:0 ✺
16.02.26	Septemvri Sofia - Montana	1:0 ✺
06.02.26	Montana - CSKA 1948 Sofia	0:1 ✺
Bulgarian Cup
14.12.25	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Montana	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Parva Liga
19.09.25	Montana - Spartak Varna	1:2
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
27.04.24	Spartak Varna - Montana	1:0
09.10.23	Montana - Spartak Varna	1:1
21.05.22	Montana - Spartak Varna	1:1
27.11.21	Spartak Varna - Montana	2:1
21.09.19	Spartak Varna - Montana	1:0

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