The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Beroe Stara Zagora 43.5%
Draw 26.7%
Slavia Sofia 29.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.3%
29.1%
42.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.4%
29%
42.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Beroe Stara Zagora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Beroe Stara Zagora's performance.
Slavia Sofia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Slavia Sofia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beroe Stara Zagora than the current prediction. (-15.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Beroe Stara Zagora that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Slavia Sofia than the current prediction. (+12.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Slavia Sofia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
22.2%
44.4%
Beroe Stara Zagora - Slavia Sofia Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Beroe will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Slavia Sofia will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Slavia Sofia: 11.9% โ 76.9%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Slavia Sofia (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DNB - Beroe (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DC - Beroe (1.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Beroe (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Slavia Sofia (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Arthur (G) 4. Costantini F. (C) 3. Salomoni J. 16. Yovkov S. 5. Caio Lopes 12. Valverde D. 8. Borgnino M. 24. Gavrilov S. 23. Sonha T. 7. Pineda J. 11. Ferrer I.
12. Ntumba L. (G) 87. Diego 4. Savic N. 15. Malembana D. 24. Marin L. 73. Minchev I. (C) 11. Dosso M. 77. Stoev E. 13. Stefanov I. 17. Kazaldzhiev V. 10. Guermouche Y.
Substitutes
30. Brunelli S. 17. Dual W. 22. Georgiev M. 25. Johny 19. Kuhinja E. 6. Mitev I. 99. Quintero V. (G) 18. Rusenov S. 9. Valbuena Y.
99. Andonov I. (G) 7. Gogev E. 6. Ivanov L. 22. Lazarov M. 21. Medved V. 14. Miletic M. 9. Raychev R. 23. Todorov B. 8. Yotov V.
Coaches
Uribe J.
Dostanic R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Pineda J. ⚽, Sonha T. (A),
19', Dosso M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
51', 2 - 0, Ferrer I. ⚽,
61', Marin L. ↓, Lazarov M. ↑,
61', Guermouche Y. ↓, Gogev E. ↑,
61', Stoev E. ↓, Raychev R. ↑,
69', Caio Lopes ↓, Georgiev M. ↑,
69', Gavrilov S. ↓, Brunelli S. ↑,
72', Dosso M. ↓, Todorov B. ↑,
78', Minchev I. ↓, Miletic M. ↑,
80', Stefanov I. 🟨,
81', Borgnino M. 🟨,
82', Borgnino M. ↓, Dual W. ↑,
87', Ferrer I. ↓, Rusenov S. ↑,
90+4', 3 - 0, Costantini F. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Beroe won 1.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Slavia Sofia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Beroe could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Beroe won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 29:24. (average 1.5:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Beroe won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:8. (average 1.4:0.8).