Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 - Round 17

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday


	Montañesa		Peralada

	1	X	2
	2.52	2.88	2.78
	2.55	2.83	2.93	Watch
	2.3	2.63	3.25
	2.37	2.88	3.01
	2.28	2.75	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↓ (2.51)	2.79 ↓ (2.88)	3.06 ↑ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Montañesa
37.8%

Draw
32.5%

Peralada
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

31.4%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

32.7%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montañesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Peralada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montañesa than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peralada than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Montañesa - Peralada Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, ⚽,
39', 2 - 0, ⚽,
45', 3 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montañesa won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Montañesa won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 0.7:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Montañesa won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Montanesa	4	3	0	1	5:1	4	9
11	Peralada	4	1	2	1	5:3	2	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Montañesa
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
04.01.26	Vic - Montañesa	2:0 ✺
21.12.25	Montañesa - LHospitalet	0:3 ✺
14.12.25	Manresa - Montañesa	2:0 ✺
07.12.25	Montañesa - CE Europa B	2:0 ✺
23.11.25	Grama - Montañesa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LLLWW
- CF Peralada
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
04.01.26	Peralada - Cerdanyola del Vallès	2:2 ✺
20.12.25	Can Vidalet - Peralada	1:3 ✺
13.12.25	Vic - Peralada	1:0 ✺
07.12.25	Peralada - LHospitalet	2:0 ✺
23.11.25	Manresa - Peralada	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
30.03.25	Peralada - Montañesa	1:1
17.11.24	Montañesa - Peralada	0:0
24.03.24	Peralada - Montañesa	2:0
05.11.23	Montañesa - Peralada	0:0
12.02.23	Peralada - Montañesa	1:0
16.10.22	Montañesa - Peralada	2:0
11.04.21	Montañesa - Peralada	2:2

Montañesa - Peralada: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide