Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 - Round 16

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Vic		Montañesa

	1	X	2
	2.87	2.75	2.4
	2.45	3.05	2.62
	2.78	2.88	2.64
	2.7	2.8	2.63
	2.69	2.89	2.53
	2.9	2.8	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↑ (2.5)	2.86 ↑ (2.78)	2.55 ↓ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vic
33.1%

Draw
31.6%

Montañesa
35.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.1%

32.5%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

33.5%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Montañesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vic than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montañesa than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Vic - Montañesa Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, Rosales P. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', 2 - 0, Garrido N. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Vic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Montanesa	8	4	1	3	11:7	4	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UE Vic
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
20.12.25	Cerdanyola del Vallès - Vic	1:1 ✺
13.12.25	Vic - Peralada	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Can Vidalet - Vic	0:0 ✺
23.11.25	LHospitalet - Vic	2:0 ✺
15.11.25	Vic - Manresa	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TWTLL
- CF Montañesa
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
21.12.25	Montañesa - LHospitalet	0:3 ✺
14.12.25	Manresa - Montañesa	2:0 ✺
07.12.25	Montañesa - CE Europa B	2:0 ✺
23.11.25	Grama - Montañesa	0:1 ✺
16.11.25	Montañesa - Tona	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LLWWW

Vic - Montañesa