Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 13 - ROUND 9

Date: 4 November 2023, Saturday


	Montecasillas		Alcantarilla

	1	X	2
	5	3.5	1.58
	4.72	3.42	1.61
	4.72	3.42	1.62
	5.2	3.62	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.91 ↑ (4.69)	3.49 ↓ (3.6)	1.6 ↓ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montecasillas
18.2%

Draw
25.7%

Alcantarilla
56.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.4%

25.2%

55.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.7%

24.3%

57.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montecasillas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Alcantarilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montecasillas than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcantarilla than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 13 (Play Offs: )).

Montecasillas has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Alcantarilla is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Alcantarilla could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Montecasillas have a series of guest games.

In this match Alcantarilla is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montecasillas FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
29.10.23	Cieza - Montecasillas	5:1 ✺
14.10.23	Montecasillas - Real Murcia B	1:1 ✺
08.10.23	Pulpileño - Montecasillas	4:0 ✺
24.09.23	Minera - Montecasillas	2:0 ✺
10.09.23	Muleño - Montecasillas	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LTLLL
- Alcantarilla FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
28.10.23	Alcantarilla - Pulpileño	1:2 ✺
22.10.23	Racing Murcia - Alcantarilla	1:5 ✺
14.10.23	Alcantarilla - Minera	4:1 ✺
07.10.23	Balsicas Atlético - Alcantarilla	1:0 ✺
30.09.23	Alcantarilla - Muleño	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LWWLT

Montecasillas - Alcantarilla: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide