Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 13 - ROUND 15

Date: 7 January 2024, Sunday


	Montecasillas		Caravaca

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.3	1.78
	3.36	3.52	1.81
	3.36	3.52	1.81
	4.03	3.5	1.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.64 ↑ (3.17)	3.46 ↑ (3.2)	1.8 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montecasillas
24.5%

Draw
25.8%

Caravaca
49.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.7%

28.4%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

27.9%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montecasillas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Caravaca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Caravaca's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montecasillas than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caravaca than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Caravaca, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Montecasillas - Caravaca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 14).

Montecasillas has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Caravaca is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Caravaca will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montecasillas FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
17.12.23	Lorca Deportiva - Montecasillas	2:0 ✺
02.12.23	Montecasillas - UCAM Murcia B	2:2 ✺
26.11.23	Algar - Montecasillas	3:2 ✺
18.11.23	Montecasillas - Plus Ultra	0:4 ✺
12.11.23	Bullense - Montecasillas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LTLLL
- UD Caravaca
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
15.12.23	Caravaca - Pulpileño	0:1 ✺
03.12.23	Racing Murcia - Caravaca	0:0 ✺
26.11.23	Caravaca - Minera	1:1 ✺
19.11.23	Balsicas Atlético - Caravaca	1:3 ✺
12.11.23	Caravaca - Muleño	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 LTTWL

Montecasillas - Caravaca: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide