Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 13 - ROUND 13

Date: 2 December 2023, Saturday


	Montecasillas		UCAM Murcia B

	1	X	2
	7	4.1	1.38
	6.94	4.05	1.39
	6.94	4.06	1.4
	7.3	4.25	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.05 ↑ (5.34)	4.12 ↑ (3.6)	1.39 ↓ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montecasillas
12.8%

Draw
22%

UCAM Murcia B
65.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.8%

25%

58.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.4%

24.4%

59.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montecasillas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

UCAM Murcia B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting UCAM Murcia B's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montecasillas than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UCAM Murcia B than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for UCAM Murcia B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 13 (Play Offs: )).

Montecasillas is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

UCAM Murcia B is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match UCAM Murcia B is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montecasillas FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
26.11.23	Algar - Montecasillas	3:2 ✺
18.11.23	Montecasillas - Plus Ultra	0:4 ✺
12.11.23	Bullense - Montecasillas	2:1 ✺
04.11.23	Montecasillas - Alcantarilla	2:0 ✺
29.10.23	Cieza - Montecasillas	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LLLWL
- UCAM Murcia B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
26.11.23	UCAM Murcia B - Pulpileño	1:0 ✺
19.11.23	Racing Murcia - UCAM Murcia B	0:1 ✺
12.11.23	UCAM Murcia B - Minera	1:1 ✺
05.11.23	Balsicas Atlético - UCAM Murcia B	0:0 ✺
29.10.23	UCAM Murcia B - Muleño	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWTTW

Montecasillas - UCAM Murcia B: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide