Match Info

Date: 3 September 2022, Saturday

Location: ND Soft Stadium Yamagata (Tendo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Montedio Yamagata		Grulla Morioka

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.8	4.75	Watch
	1.68	3.5	4.2
	1.64	3.8	5
	1.68	3.6	4.6
	1.74	4.05	4.68
	1.67	3.4	4.6
	1.72	3.88	4.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.58)	3.72 ↓ (4.08)	4.62 ↓ (5.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montedio Yamagata
54.8%

Draw
25%

Grulla Morioka
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.2%

22.9%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9%

22.3%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montedio Yamagata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Grulla Morioka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montedio Yamagata than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Montedio Yamagata, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grulla Morioka than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	12.5%	0%

Montedio Yamagata - Grulla Morioka Predictions

Users Predictions: Montedio Yamagata will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Montedio Yamagata is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Grulla Morioka is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Montedio Yamagata could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Montedio Yamagata is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Montedio Yamagata won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montedio Yamagata
Japan J2 League
31.08.22	Montedio Yamagata - Fagiano Okayama	0:2 ✺
20.08.22	Ryūkyū - Montedio Yamagata	2:2 ✺
13.08.22	Montedio Yamagata - Zweigen Kanazawa	4:1 ✺
06.08.22	Renofa Yamaguchi - Montedio Yamagata	0:1 ✺
30.07.22	Montedio Yamagata - Machida Zelvia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LTWWW
- Grulla Morioka
Japan J2 League
27.08.22	Grulla Morioka - Albirex Niigata	0:2 ✺
20.08.22	Oita Trinita - Grulla Morioka	3:0 ✺
13.08.22	Grulla Morioka - Blaublitz Akita	0:1 ✺
06.08.22	Grulla Morioka - Fagiano Okayama	1:3 ✺
30.07.22	Yokohama FC - Grulla Morioka	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
15.06.22	Grulla Morioka - Montedio Yamagata	3:3

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