Match Info

JAPAN: J2 League - Promotion - Semi-finals

Date: 1 December 2024, Sunday

Location: ND Soft Stadium Yamagata (Tendo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Montedio Yamagata		Fagiano Okayama

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.2	3	Watch
	2.25	3.1	2.8
	2.37	3.15	2.95	Watch
	2.48	3.3	3.06
	2.41	3.15	3.01	Watch
	2.25	3.2	2.8
	2.45	3.22	3	Watch
	2.37	3.15	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↓ (2.4)	3.18 ↓ (3.41)	2.95 ↑ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montedio Yamagata
39.2%

Draw
29.2%

Fagiano Okayama
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

27.6%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

27%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Montedio Yamagata have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Fagiano Okayama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montedio Yamagata than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fagiano Okayama than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Montedio Yamagata - Fagiano Okayama Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Montedio Yamagata will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Goto M. (G) 15. Kawai A. 22. Shirowa H. 5. Abe T. 6. Yamada T. 7. Takae L. 8. Konishi Y. 88. Doi S. 42. Issaka Z. 90. Disaro A. S. 25. Kokubu S.	49. Brodersen S. (G) 4. Abe K. 18. Tagami D. 43. Suzuki Y. 15. Motoyama H. 24. Fujita I. 14. Tabei R. 17. Sueyoshi R. 27. Kimura T. 19. Iwabuchi H. 22. Ichimi K.
Substitutes
23. Fujishima E. (G) 17. Kato C. 10. Kida R. 18. Minami S. 19. Okamoto K. 14. Sakamoto K. 36. Takahashi J.	1. Hotta D. (G) 33. Kamiya Yuta 99. Lucao 7. Takeuchi R. 10. Tanaka Y. 88. Yanagi T. 5. Yanagi Y.
Coaches
Watanabe S.	Kiyama T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
29', Ichimi K. 🟨,
31', 0 - 1, Motoyama H. ⚽, Ichimi K. (A),
34', 0 - 2, Iwabuchi H. ⚽, Kimura T. (A),
44', Disaro A. S. ↓, Takahashi J. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Yamada T. ↓, Okamoto K. ↑,
46', Issaka Z. ↓, Kida R. ↑,
52', Iwabuchi H. ↓, Kamiya Yuta ↑,
54', Kawai A. 🟥,
54', Kimura T. 🟨,
63', Ichimi K. ↓, Lucao ↑,
69', Kokubu S. ↓, Sakamoto K. ↑,
70', Tabei R. ↓, Takeuchi R. ↑,
79', Doi S. ↓, Kato C. ↑,
79', Takae L. ↓, Minami S. ↑,
84', 0 - 3, Kimura T. ⚽, Fujita I. (A),
85', Suzuki Y. ↓, Yanagi T. ↑,
90+2', Abe K. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Montedio Yamagata won 2.

Montedio Yamagata in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Okayama is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Montedio Yamagata won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 19:21 (average 1:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Montedio Yamagata won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9:8 (average 0.9:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Montedio Yamagata - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 39.22%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montedio Yamagata
Japan J2 League
10.11.24	Montedio Yamagata - JEF United Chiba	4:0 ✺
03.11.24	Mito HollyHock - Montedio Yamagata	1:3 ✺
27.10.24	Montedio Yamagata - Roasso Kumamoto	1:0 ✺
20.10.24	Shimizu S-Pulse - Montedio Yamagata	1:2 ✺
06.10.24	Montedio Yamagata - Renofa Yamaguchi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.9 WWWWW
- Fagiano Okayama
Japan J2 League
10.11.24	Kagoshima United - Fagiano Okayama	0:0 ✺
03.11.24	Fagiano Okayama - Fujieda MYFC	2:0 ✺
27.10.24	Yokohama FC - Fagiano Okayama	2:4 ✺
20.10.24	Fagiano Okayama - Iwaki	2:1 ✺
05.10.24	Ventforet Kofu - Fagiano Okayama	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
03.08.24	Fagiano Okayama - Montedio Yamagata	1:1
03.05.24	Montedio Yamagata - Fagiano Okayama	2:2
16.09.23	Montedio Yamagata - Fagiano Okayama	2:0
03.05.23	Fagiano Okayama - Montedio Yamagata	2:0
Japan J1 League
30.10.22	Fagiano Okayama - Montedio Yamagata	0:3
Japan J2 League
10.09.22	Fagiano Okayama - Montedio Yamagata	2:1
31.08.22	Montedio Yamagata - Fagiano Okayama	0:2

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