Match Info

JAPAN: J2 League - Round 6

Date: 23 March 2025, Sunday

Location: ND Soft Stadium Yamagata (Tendo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Montedio Yamagata		Tokushima Vortis

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.2	2.9	Watch
	2.35	3	2.75
	2.4	3.1	2.9	Watch
	2.54	3.4	2.8
	2.4	3.18	2.99	Watch
	2.38	2.9	2.9
	2.45	3.2	2.87	Watch
	2.4	3.1	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (2.54)	3.14 ↓ (3.29)	2.88 ↑ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montedio Yamagata
38.3%

Draw
29.5%

Tokushima Vortis
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

28%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

28.2%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montedio Yamagata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Tokushima Vortis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montedio Yamagata than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokushima Vortis than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	50%	12.5%

Montedio Yamagata - Tokushima Vortis Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Montedio Yamagata will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tokushima will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Terakado R. (G) 19. Okamoto K. 4. Nishimura K. 5. Abe T. 13. Nodake H. 7. Takae L. 21. Tanaka W. 88. Doi S. 10. Kida R. 55. Horikane S. 25. Kokubu S.	1. Tanaka H. (G) 15. Yamakoshi K. 3. Yamada N. 4. Kaique 18. Elsinho 55. Shigehiro T. 28. Kanuma N. 42. Takagi Y. 11. Sugimori K. 10. Sugimoto T. 99. Lucas Barcelos
Substitutes
11. Fujimoto Y. 16. Hasegawa K. (G) 42. Issaka Z. 17. Kato C. 3. Kumamoto Y. 99. Mikeltadze B. 9. Takahashi J. 6. Yamada T. 20. Yoshio Kaina	5. Aoki H. 14. Hyon R. 27. Izuchukwu L. 7. Kodama S. 21. Nagai K. (G) 13. Nishino T. 24. Takada S. 2. Tamukai T. 16. Watari D.
Coaches
Watanabe S.	Masuda K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Tanaka W. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Sugimori K. 🟨,
70', Horikane S. ↓, Fujimoto Y. ↑,
70', Kida R. ↓, Issaka Z. ↑,
71', Lucas Barcelos 🟨,
75', Sugimoto T. ↓, Watari D. ↑,
75', Sugimori K. ↓, Kodama S. ↑,
80', Doi S. ↓, Takahashi J. ↑,
86', Kokubu S. ↓, Yoshio Kaina ↑,
86', Elsinho ↓, Nishino T. ↑,
86', Takagi Y. ↓, Takada S. ↑,
90+2', Takae L. 🟨,
90+2', Lucas Barcelos ↓, Izuchukwu L. ↑,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Montedio Yamagata won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Montedio Yamagata could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Montedio Yamagata have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Montedio Yamagata won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 23:28 (average 1.3:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Montedio Yamagata won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13:12 (average 1.6:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montedio Yamagata
Japan J2 League
16.03.25	Roasso Kumamoto - Montedio Yamagata	1:3 ✺
09.03.25	Montedio Yamagata - Blaublitz Akita	4:2 ✺
01.03.25	JEF United Chiba - Montedio Yamagata	3:2 ✺
23.02.25	Mito HollyHock - Montedio Yamagata	1:0 ✺
15.02.25	Omiya Ardija - Montedio Yamagata	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWLLL
- Tokushima Vortis
Japan J2 League
15.03.25	V-Varen Nagasaki - Tokushima Vortis	1:0 ✺
09.03.25	Tokushima Vortis - Roasso Kumamoto	0:0 ✺
02.03.25	Iwaki - Tokushima Vortis	1:1 ✺
22.02.25	Tokushima Vortis - Vegalta Sendai	1:0 ✺
15.02.25	Fujieda MYFC - Tokushima Vortis	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
11.08.24	Montedio Yamagata - Tokushima Vortis	1:0
28.04.24	Tokushima Vortis - Montedio Yamagata	2:1
01.10.23	Montedio Yamagata - Tokushima Vortis	0:1
17.06.23	Tokushima Vortis - Montedio Yamagata	1:1
23.10.22	Montedio Yamagata - Tokushima Vortis	3:0
27.04.22	Tokushima Vortis - Montedio Yamagata	0:1
15.11.20	Montedio Yamagata - Tokushima Vortis	0:1

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