Match Info

JAPAN: J2 League - Round 5

Date: 15 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Peace Stadium (Nagasaki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	V-Varen Nagasaki		Tokushima Vortis

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.4	3.2	Watch
	2.05	3.1	3.2
	2.09	3.25	3.35	Watch
	2.2	3.32	3.47
	2.11	3.33	3.44	Watch
	2.15	3.1	3.25
	2.06	3.41	3.45	Watch
	2.09	3.25	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.13)	3.27 ↑ (3.27)	3.34 ↓ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

V-Varen Nagasaki
43.9%

Draw
28.3%

Tokushima Vortis
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

28.5%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

V-Varen Nagasaki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

The chances for Tokushima Vortis have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	12.5%	12.5%

V Varen Nagasaki - Tokushima Vortis Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. V-Varen Nagasaki will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Tokushima will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for V-Varen Nagasaki: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Goto M. (G) 3. Sekiguchi M. 25. Kushibiki K. 4. Dudu Giusti 17. Takahata K. 5. Yamaguchi H. 13. Kato M. 14. Nagura T. 8. Masuyama A. 10. Matheus Jesus 38. Matsuzawa K.	1. Tanaka H. (G) 15. Yamakoshi K. 3. Yamada N. 5. Aoki H. 18. Elsinho 7. Kodama S. 28. Kanuma N. 42. Takagi Y. 11. Sugimori K. 10. Sugimoto T. 16. Watari D.
Substitutes
36. Aoki S. 29. Arai I. 31. Harada G. (G) 9. Juanma Delgado 7. Marcos Guilherme 48. Teruyama H. 24. Yamada R. 18. Yamasaki R. 23. Yoneda S.	14. Hyon R. 27. Izuchukwu L. 99. Lucas Barcelos 21. Nagai K. (G) 13. Nishino T. 55. Shigehiro T. 24. Takada S. 2. Tamukai T. 30. Tsuboi K.
Coaches
Shimotaira T.	Masuda K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Sugimoto T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Sugimori K. ↓, Lucas Barcelos ↑,
60', Nagura T. ↓, Juanma Delgado ↑,
60', Matsuzawa K. ↓, Marcos Guilherme ↑,
68', Watari D. ↓, Tsuboi K. ↑,
70', 1 - 0, Juanma Delgado ⚽, Masuyama A. (A),
74', Kato M. ↓, Yamada R. ↑,
79', Takagi Y. ↓, Takada S. ↑,
79', Elsinho ↓, Nishino T. ↑,
81', Nishino T. 🟨,
87', Sugimoto T. ↓, Izuchukwu L. ↑,
88', Masuyama A. ↓, Aoki S. ↑,
88', Sekiguchi M. ↓, Yoneda S. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches V-Varen Nagasaki won 2.

Recent matches V-Varen Nagasaki is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

V-Varen Nagasaki will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 17 head-to-head matches V-Varen Nagasaki won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 22:20 (average 1.3:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams V-Varen Nagasaki won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13:11 (average 1.4:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- V-Varen Nagasaki
Japan J2 League
07.03.25	Vegalta Sendai - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:1 ✺
01.03.25	V-Varen Nagasaki - Júbilo Iwata	1:0 ✺
22.02.25	Renofa Yamaguchi - V-Varen Nagasaki	2:2 ✺
15.02.25	V-Varen Nagasaki - Roasso Kumamoto	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
20.01.25	V-Varen Nagasaki - Consadole Sapporo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TWTWL
- Tokushima Vortis
Japan J2 League
09.03.25	Tokushima Vortis - Roasso Kumamoto	0:0 ✺
02.03.25	Iwaki - Tokushima Vortis	1:1 ✺
22.02.25	Tokushima Vortis - Vegalta Sendai	1:0 ✺
15.02.25	Fujieda MYFC - Tokushima Vortis	0:2 ✺
10.11.24	Tochigi - Tokushima Vortis	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
29.06.24	Tokushima Vortis - V-Varen Nagasaki	2:2
13.04.24	V-Varen Nagasaki - Tokushima Vortis	6:1
28.10.23	V-Varen Nagasaki - Tokushima Vortis	1:2
16.04.23	Tokushima Vortis - V-Varen Nagasaki	0:4
08.10.22	V-Varen Nagasaki - Tokushima Vortis	1:2
03.04.22	Tokushima Vortis - V-Varen Nagasaki	0:0
30.09.20	V-Varen Nagasaki - Tokushima Vortis	0:1

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