Match Info

JAPAN: J2 League - Round 5

Date: 16 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Egao Kenko Stadium (Kumamoto)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Roasso Kumamoto		Montedio Yamagata

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.5	2.5	Watch
	2.4	3.25	2.45
	2.5	3.45	2.55	Watch
	2.44	3.46	2.81
	2.58	3.46	2.58	Watch
	2.5	3.3	2.5
	2.52	3.53	2.57	Watch
	2.5	3.45	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (2.38)	3.43 ↑ (3.41)	2.56 ↓ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roasso Kumamoto
37%

Draw
27%

Montedio Yamagata
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

27.3%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roasso Kumamoto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Montedio Yamagata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Roasso Kumamoto - Montedio Yamagata Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Sato Y. (G) 5. Abe K. 3. Onishi R. 6. Iwashita W. 7. Takemoto Y. 8. Kamimura S. 15. Mishima S. 10. Konagaya C. 19. Watanabe R. 18. Handai M. 14. Shiohama R.	31. Terakado R. (G) 19. Okamoto K. 4. Nishimura K. 5. Abe T. 13. Nodake H. 21. Tanaka W. 7. Takae L. 88. Doi S. 10. Kida R. 90. Disaro A. S. 25. Kokubu S.
Substitutes
11. Bae Jeong-Min 4. Hakamata Y. 13. Iihoshi A. 16. Matsuoka R. 20. Osaki S. 24. Ri T. 1. Sato S. (G)	11. Fujimoto Y. 16. Hasegawa K. (G) 55. Horikane S. 42. Issaka Z. 17. Kato C. 3. Kumamoto Y. 9. Takahashi J. 6. Yamada T. 20. Yoshio Kaina
Coaches
Oki T.	Watanabe S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
23', Onishi R. 🟨,
27', Abe K. ↓, Hakamata Y. ↑,
31', Disaro A. S. ↓, Horikane S. ↑,
35', 0 - 1, Kokubu S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Konagaya C. ↓, Matsuoka R. ↑,
48', Matsuoka R. 🟨,
68', Kida R. ↓, Yoshio Kaina ↑,
68', Kokubu S. ↓, Issaka Z. ↑,
72', Doi S. ↓, Takahashi J. ↑,
73', Watanabe R. ↓, Osaki S. ↑,
77', 1 - 1, Handai M. ⚽, Iwashita W. (A),
82', 1 - 2, Horikane S. ⚽,
90', 1 - 3, Takahashi J. ⚽,
90+1', Horikane S. ↓, Kumamoto Y. ↑,
90+1', Takemoto Y. ↓, Iihoshi A. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kumamoto won 0.

Montedio Yamagata could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Kumamoto won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 12:26 (average 0.8:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Kumamoto won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 6:16 (average 0.7:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roasso Kumamoto
Japan J2 League
09.03.25	Tokushima Vortis - Roasso Kumamoto	0:0 ✺
01.03.25	Roasso Kumamoto - Omiya Ardija	0:4 ✺
22.02.25	Roasso Kumamoto - Consadole Sapporo	3:0 ✺
15.02.25	V-Varen Nagasaki - Roasso Kumamoto	3:2 ✺
10.11.24	Shimizu S-Pulse - Roasso Kumamoto	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TLWLL
- Montedio Yamagata
Japan J2 League
09.03.25	Montedio Yamagata - Blaublitz Akita	4:2 ✺
01.03.25	JEF United Chiba - Montedio Yamagata	3:2 ✺
23.02.25	Mito HollyHock - Montedio Yamagata	1:0 ✺
15.02.25	Omiya Ardija - Montedio Yamagata	2:1 ✺
01.12.24	Montedio Yamagata - Fagiano Okayama	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
27.10.24	Montedio Yamagata - Roasso Kumamoto	1:0
26.05.24	Roasso Kumamoto - Montedio Yamagata	0:1
19.08.23	Montedio Yamagata - Roasso Kumamoto	2:0
28.05.23	Roasso Kumamoto - Montedio Yamagata	0:3
Japan J1 League
06.11.22	Roasso Kumamoto - Montedio Yamagata	2:2
Japan J2 League
10.07.22	Montedio Yamagata - Roasso Kumamoto	0:1
26.02.22	Roasso Kumamoto - Montedio Yamagata	0:3

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