Match Info

J2 League - Round 5

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: ND Soft Stadium Yamagata (Tendo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Montedio Yamagata		Ventforet Kofu

	1	X	2
	1.81	3.3	4.1
	1.93	3.10	3.60
	1.85	3.25	4	Watch
	2.03	3.46	4.07
	1.99	3.4	3.73	Watch
	1.85	3.5	4.15
	1.88	3.36	4.17	Watch
	1.8	3.25	4.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.75)	3.33 ↓ (3.54)	3.98 ↓ (4.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montedio Yamagata
48.9%

Draw
27.8%

Ventforet Kofu
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

26%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

25.6%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montedio Yamagata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Ventforet Kofu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montedio Yamagata than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ventforet Kofu than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Montedio Yamagata - Ventforet Kofu Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Montedio Yamagata will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Kofu will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Montedio Yamagata (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Sato R. (G) 15. Kawai A. 38. Morioka R. 49. Sakamoto K. 5. Sugii H. 17. Terayama T. 7. Nakamura R. 8. Doi S. 10. Kida R. 9. Takahashi J. 27. Enomoto K.	97. Higashi J. (G) 22. Koide Y. 2. Inoue M. 20. Endo H. 13. Murakami Y. 27. Takei S. 8. Yasuda K. 7. Araki S. 26. Sato K. 14. Fujii K. 10. Naito Y.
Substitutes
11. Disaro A. S. 16. Hasegawa K. (G) 55. Horikane S. 25. Kokubu S. 39. Mori K. 13. Nodake H. 22. Shirowa H. 23. Tanaka S. 20. Yoshio Kaina	17. Fukumoto S. 6. Kobayashi I. 96. Kurokawa A. 19. Mizuno H. 29. Oshima K. 23. Staccioli M. 41. Wada T. 4. Yamamoto H. 33. Yamauchi K. (G)
Coaches
Yokouchi A.	Shibuya H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Yasuda K. ⚽, Sato K. (A),
11', Endo H. 🟨,
15', 0 - 2, Naito Y. ⚽, Murakami Y. (A),
44', Murakami Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Terayama T. ↓, Nodake H. ↑,
46', Murakami Y. ↓, Wada T. ↑,
62', Enomoto K. ↓, Disaro A. S. ↑,
66', Sato K. ↓, Oshima K. ↑,
66', Naito Y. ↓, Staccioli M. ↑,
68', 1 - 2, Takahashi J. ⚽,
76', Fujii K. ↓, Kurokawa A. ↑,
82', Takahashi J. ↓, Mori K. ↑,
90', Doi S. ↓, Horikane S. ↑,
90', Kida R. ↓, Yoshio Kaina ↑,
90+1', Araki S. ↓, Fukumoto S. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montedio Yamagata won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Kofu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Montedio Yamagata is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Montedio Yamagata won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:24. (average 1.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Montedio Yamagata won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 0.9:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Montedio Yamagata	9	4	0	5	11:8	3	12
20	Kofu	9	2	1	6	7:17	-10	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montedio Yamagata
Japan J2 League
29.08.26	Imabari - Montedio Yamagata	0:3 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
26.08.26	Montedio Yamagata - Fujieda MYFC	3:5 AET ✺
Japan J2 League
22.08.26	Montedio Yamagata - Yokohama FC	2:0 ✺
15.08.26	Shonan Bellmare - Montedio Yamagata	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
25.07.26	Albirex Niigata - Montedio Yamagata	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.7 WLWLW
- Ventforet Kofu
Japan J League Cup
02.09.26	Osaka - Ventforet Kofu	3:0 ✺
Japan J2 League
29.08.26	Ventforet Kofu - Consadole Sapporo	2:1 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
26.08.26	Consadole Sapporo - Ventforet Kofu	1:3 ✺
Japan J2 League
22.08.26	Blaublitz Akita - Ventforet Kofu	3:0 ✺
15.08.26	Ventforet Kofu - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
02.08.25	Ventforet Kofu - Montedio Yamagata	1:3
25.05.25	Montedio Yamagata - Ventforet Kofu	0:4
28.09.24	Ventforet Kofu - Montedio Yamagata	1:2
16.03.24	Montedio Yamagata - Ventforet Kofu	0:1
11.11.23	Montedio Yamagata - Ventforet Kofu	2:1
17.02.23	Ventforet Kofu - Montedio Yamagata	1:2
18.06.22	Montedio Yamagata - Ventforet Kofu	0:1

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