Match Info

Date: 7 March 2021, Sunday


	Montegiorgio		Campobasso

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.4	1.82
	3.75	3.4	1.82
	3.75	3.5	1.8
	3.8	3.5	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.75 (3.75)	3.45 ↓ (3.5)	1.82 ↑ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montegiorgio
24.1%

Draw
26.2%

Campobasso
49.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.1%

25.8%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.3%

20.6%

62.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Montegiorgio have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Campobasso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montegiorgio than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Campobasso than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Campobasso could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Montegiorgio - Campobasso Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 13 in the zone Serie D to Group A and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Montegiorgio is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Campobasso is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Campobasso could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Campobasso is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Montegiorgio won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Montegiorgio won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Montegiorgio
Italian Serie D - Group F
28.02.21	Matese - Montegiorgio	2:1 ✺
24.02.21	Montegiorgio - Cynthialbalonga	0:0 ✺
21.02.21	Castelfidardo - Montegiorgio	3:0 ✺
17.02.21	Montegiorgio - Recanatese	2:1 ✺
10.02.21	Montegiorgio - Giulianova	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LTLWL
- Campobasso
Italian Serie D - Group F
28.02.21	Campobasso - Castelfidardo	1:0 ✺
21.02.21	Campobasso - Aprilia	1:0 ✺
17.02.21	Tolentino - Campobasso	4:0 ✺
07.02.21	Roma City - Campobasso	1:2 ✺
03.02.21	Campobasso - Rieti	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
18.10.20	Campobasso - Montegiorgio	2:0
23.02.20	Montegiorgio - Campobasso	0:1
20.10.19	Campobasso - Montegiorgio	0:1
03.03.19	Montegiorgio - Campobasso	3:2

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