Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP F - ROUND 22

Date: 5 February 2023, Sunday


	Montegiorgio		Notaresco

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.75	3.2
	2.2	2.8	3.3
	2.24	2.79	3.27
	2.29	2.8	3.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.26)	2.79 ↑ (2.77)	3.28 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montegiorgio
40.1%

Draw
32.4%

Notaresco
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

32.5%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

34.1%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montegiorgio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Notaresco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montegiorgio than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notaresco than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Montegiorgio - Notaresco Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out) and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Montegiorgio won 1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Montegiorgio will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Montegiorgio won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Montegiorgio won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Montegiorgio
Italian Serie D - Group F
29.01.23	Chieti - Montegiorgio	0:1 ✺
25.01.23	Montegiorgio - Cynthialbalonga	0:1 ✺
15.01.23	Montegiorgio - Avezzano	2:0 ✺
08.01.23	Sambenedettese - Montegiorgio	3:1 ✺
21.12.22	Vigor Senigallia - Montegiorgio	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLWLL
- Notaresco Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
29.01.23	Notaresco - Sambenedettese	1:0 ✺
22.01.23	Vigor Senigallia - Notaresco	1:1 ✺
15.01.23	Notaresco - Polisportiva Vastogirardi	0:3 ✺
08.01.23	Matese - Notaresco	0:0 ✺
21.12.22	Fano - Notaresco	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
02.10.22	Notaresco - Montegiorgio	0:0
11.05.22	Montegiorgio - Notaresco	2:1
18.12.21	Notaresco - Montegiorgio	1:0
12.05.21	Notaresco - Montegiorgio	2:1
25.10.20	Montegiorgio - Notaresco	1:1
23.11.19	Montegiorgio - Notaresco	0:0

Montegiorgio - Notaresco: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide