Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP F - ROUND 18

Date: 8 January 2023, Sunday

Location: Stadio Comunale Riviera delle Palme (San Benedetto del Tronto)


	Sambenedettese		Montegiorgio

	1	X	2
	1.87	3.1	3.7
	1.85	3.15	3.9
	1.83	2.98	3.71
	1.83	2.9	4.2
	1.87	3.22	3.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (1.88)	3.07 ↑ (3.04)	3.89 ↑ (3.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sambenedettese
48.1%

Draw
29%

Montegiorgio
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

29.2%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

27.2%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sambenedettese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Montegiorgio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sambenedettese than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montegiorgio than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Sambenedettese - Montegiorgio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 and 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out)).

Recent matches Sambenedettese is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Montegiorgio is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Sambenedettese is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Sambenedettese won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Sambenedettese won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sambenedettese Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
21.12.22	Avezzano - Sambenedettese	0:1 ✺
18.12.22	Sambenedettese - Vigor Senigallia	1:2 ✺
11.12.22	Polisportiva Vastogirardi - Sambenedettese	1:1 ✺
04.12.22	Sambenedettese - Matese	1:2 ✺
27.11.22	Fano - Sambenedettese	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WLTLW
- ASD Montegiorgio
Italian Serie D - Group F
21.12.22	Vigor Senigallia - Montegiorgio	2:1 ✺
17.12.22	Montegiorgio - Polisportiva Vastogirardi	0:0 ✺
11.12.22	Matese - Montegiorgio	0:0 ✺
04.12.22	Montegiorgio - Fano	1:2 ✺
27.11.22	Termoli - Montegiorgio	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
04.09.22	Montegiorgio - Sambenedettese	1:3
08.05.22	Sambenedettese - Montegiorgio	2:0
12.12.21	Montegiorgio - Sambenedettese	2:0

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