Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 14 - ROUND 22

Date: 18 February 2024, Sunday


	Montehermoso		Don Álvaro

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.1	3.4
	2.04	3.06	3.46
	1.97	3.08	3.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.82)	3.08 ↓ (3.25)	3.48 ↓ (4.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montehermoso
45%

Draw
29.2%

Don Álvaro
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

27.9%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

30.1%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montehermoso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Don Álvaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montehermoso than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Montehermoso, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Don Álvaro than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Don Álvaro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 15).

Montehermoso is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Don Álvaro is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Don Álvaro could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Montehermoso is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Montehermoso won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Montehermoso won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CP Montehermoso
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
09.02.24	Racing Valverdeño - Montehermoso	2:1 ✺
04.02.24	Montehermoso - Azuaga	1:1 ✺
28.01.24	Villafranca - Montehermoso	4:0 ✺
21.01.24	Montehermoso - Fuente de Cantos	1:0 ✺
14.01.24	Montehermoso - Don Benito	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LTLWL
- CD Don Álvaro
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
11.02.24	Don Álvaro - Jaraíz	2:0 ✺
04.02.24	Trujillo - Don Álvaro	1:1 ✺
28.01.24	Don Álvaro - Coria	1:1 ✺
21.01.24	Calamonte - Don Álvaro	1:0 ✺
14.01.24	Don Álvaro - Pueblonuevo	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.6 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
08.10.23	Don Álvaro - Montehermoso	1:1
06.04.23	Montehermoso - Don Álvaro	2:0
11.12.22	Don Álvaro - Montehermoso	1:0

Montehermoso - Don Álvaro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide