Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 14 - ROUND 20

Date: 4 February 2024, Sunday


	Montehermoso		Azuaga

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.1	2
	3.26	3.21	2.05
	3.4	3.05	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.3 ↑ (2.81)	3.12 ↓ (3.2)	2.05 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montehermoso
27.3%

Draw
28.9%

Azuaga
43.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

28.4%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3%

26.8%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montehermoso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Montehermoso's form might have worsened.

Azuaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montehermoso than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Montehermoso, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Azuaga than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Azuaga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 13 and 7).

Both teams are in bad shape now.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Montehermoso won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Montehermoso won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CP Montehermoso
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
28.01.24	Villafranca - Montehermoso	4:0 ✺
21.01.24	Montehermoso - Fuente de Cantos	1:0 ✺
14.01.24	Montehermoso - Don Benito	1:4 ✺
07.01.24	Diocesano - Montehermoso	4:2 ✺
16.12.23	Montehermoso - Castuera	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLLL
- CD Azuaga
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
28.01.24	Azuaga - Jaraíz	0:1 ✺
21.01.24	Trujillo - Azuaga	1:1 ✺
14.01.24	Coria - Azuaga	3:1 ✺
07.01.24	Azuaga - Calamonte	2:2 ✺
16.12.23	Don Álvaro - Azuaga	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
24.09.23	Azuaga - Montehermoso	0:0
02.04.23	Azuaga - Montehermoso	3:0
04.12.22	Montehermoso - Azuaga	2:4

Montehermoso - Azuaga: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide