Match Info

Date: 2 March 2022, Wednesday


	Montespaccato		Foligno

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.2	3.4
	2.05	3.25	3.15
	2.08	3.13	3.2
	2.09	3.3	3.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.93)	3.22 ↑ (2.9)	3.26 ↓ (4.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montespaccato
44.3%

Draw
28%

Foligno
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

31%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

21.9%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montespaccato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Foligno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Foligno's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montespaccato than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Montespaccato that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Foligno than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Montespaccato - Foligno Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Play Out).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Montespaccato will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Montespaccato won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Montespaccato won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montespaccato Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group E
26.02.22	Montespaccato - Tiferno Lerchi	0:1 ✺
20.02.22	SanGiovanniValdarno - Montespaccato	0:0 ✺
16.02.22	Rieti - Montespaccato	0:1 ✺
13.02.22	Montespaccato - Arezzo	1:1 ✺
06.02.22	Follonica Gavorrano - Montespaccato	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LTWTL
- Foligno
Italian Serie D - Group E
26.02.22	Foligno - Arezzo	0:4 ✺
20.02.22	Foligno - Follonica Gavorrano	1:3 ✺
16.02.22	UniPomezia - Foligno	2:2 ✺
13.02.22	Cascina Valdera - Foligno	1:2 ✺
06.02.22	Foligno - Rieti	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group E
19.09.21	Foligno - Montespaccato	0:1
28.03.21	Foligno - Montespaccato	0:2
06.12.20	Montespaccato - Foligno	1:2

Montespaccato - Foligno: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide