Match Info

Date: 26 February 2022, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Montespaccato		Tiferno Lerchi

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.2	2.95
	2.1	3.3	3.05
	2.23	3.02	3.01
	2	3.3	3.25
	2.23	3.25	3.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (2.01)	3.21 ↓ (3.3)	3.06 ↓ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montespaccato
42.4%

Draw
28.1%

Tiferno Lerchi
29.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45%

27.4%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

18.7%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montespaccato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Tiferno Lerchi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montespaccato than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Montespaccato that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tiferno Lerchi than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tiferno Lerchi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Montespaccato - Tiferno Lerchi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 10 and 7).

Recent matches Montespaccato is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tiferno Lerchi is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tiferno Lerchi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Montespaccato will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Montespaccato won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Montespaccato won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montespaccato Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group E
20.02.22	SanGiovanniValdarno - Montespaccato	0:0 ✺
16.02.22	Rieti - Montespaccato	0:1 ✺
13.02.22	Montespaccato - Arezzo	1:1 ✺
06.02.22	Follonica Gavorrano - Montespaccato	2:1 ✺
05.01.22	UniPomezia - Montespaccato	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TWTLL
- Tiferno Lerchi
Italian Serie D - Group E
20.02.22	Tiferno Lerchi - UniPomezia	1:0 ✺
12.02.22	Trestina - Tiferno Lerchi	1:1 ✺
06.02.22	Tiferno Lerchi - Flaminia Civita Castellana	4:4 ✺
30.01.22	Lornano Badesse - Tiferno Lerchi	1:1 ✺
23.01.22	Scandicci - Tiferno Lerchi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group E
17.10.21	Tiferno Lerchi - Montespaccato	2:1
10.02.21	Montespaccato - Tiferno Lerchi	0:0

Montespaccato - Tiferno Lerchi

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Montespaccato - Tiferno Lerchi Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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