Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP E - ROUND 25

Date: 26 February 2023, Sunday


	Montespaccato		Ostia Mare

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.9	2.87
	2.5	2.7	2.95
	2.5	2.69	2.94
	2.2	3.1	2.88
	2.41	3.02	2.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↓ (2.68)	2.88 ↓ (2.9)	2.92 ↑ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montespaccato
37.8%

Draw
31.3%

Ostia Mare
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

30.9%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

31.8%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montespaccato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Ostia Mare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montespaccato than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ostia Mare than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Montespaccato - Ostia Mare Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 11).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Montespaccato could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Montespaccato won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Montespaccato won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montespaccato Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group E
19.02.23	Montespaccato - Mobilieri Ponsacco	2:2 ✺
12.02.23	Grosseto - Montespaccato	1:3 ✺
05.02.23	Montespaccato - Seravezza Pozzi	0:1 ✺
29.01.23	Città di Castello - Montespaccato	4:1 ✺
22.01.23	Montespaccato - Ghivizzano Borgo a Mozzano	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TWLLT
- AS Ostia Mare Lido Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group E
19.02.23	Ostia Mare - Seravezza Pozzi	2:0 ✺
11.02.23	Città di Castello - Ostia Mare	0:1 ✺
29.01.23	Ghivizzano Borgo a Mozzano - Ostia Mare	1:0 ✺
22.01.23	Ostia Mare - Flaminia Civita Castellana	2:1 ✺
15.01.23	Orvietana - Ostia Mare	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group E
23.10.22	Ostia Mare - Montespaccato	1:2
18.04.21	Ostia Mare - Montespaccato	3:1
06.01.21	Montespaccato - Ostia Mare	2:2

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