Match Info

Serie D - Group G - Round 28

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday


	Montespaccato		Sarrabus Ogliastra

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.36	2.59	Watch
	2.42	3.22	2.57
	2.37	3.33	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.34)	3.3 ↓ (3.4)	2.55 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montespaccato
37.4%

Draw
27.3%

Sarrabus Ogliastra
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

26.8%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

27.1%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montespaccato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Sarrabus Ogliastra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montespaccato than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarrabus Ogliastra than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Montespaccato - Sarrabus Ogliastra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
41', 1 - 0, ⚽,
41', 1 - 1, ⚽,
41', 1 - 2, ⚽,
41', 2 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group G (Play Out: ) and 7).

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Montespaccato won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Sarrabus Ogliastra	6	1	2	3	5:8	-3	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montespaccato Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group G
15.03.26	Budoni - Montespaccato	0:2 ✺
01.03.26	Montespaccato - Cassino	1:1 ✺
22.02.26	Montespaccato - Nocerina	0:0 ✺
15.02.26	Olbia - Montespaccato	0:1 ✺
08.02.26	Montespaccato - Albalonga	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WTTWT
- Sarrabus Ogliastra
Italian Serie D - Group G
15.03.26	Sarrabus Ogliastra - Albalonga	3:0 ✺
28.02.26	Palmese 1914 - Sarrabus Ogliastra	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Sarrabus Ogliastra - Trastevere	3:1 ✺
15.02.26	Anzio - Sarrabus Ogliastra	0:2 ✺
08.02.26	Sarrabus Ogliastra - Monastir	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group G
09.11.25	Sarrabus Ogliastra - Montespaccato	2:2

Montespaccato - Sarrabus Ogliastra: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide