Match Info

Serie D - Group G - Round 23

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday


	Montespaccato		Albalonga

	1	X	2
	2.58	3.2	2.42
	2.48	3.39	2.53	Watch
	2.46	3.56	2.62
	2.62	3.25	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↓ (2.58)	3.35 ↓ (3.55)	2.5 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montespaccato
36.1%

Draw
27.3%

Albalonga
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

25.4%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

24.6%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montespaccato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Albalonga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

The ML Model estimate for Montespaccato aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albalonga than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Montespaccato - Albalonga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, Coratella C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
67', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group G (Play Out: ) and 8).

Montespaccato has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Albalonga has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Albalonga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Montespaccato won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Albalonga	6	2	2	2	9:9	0	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montespaccato Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group G
25.01.26	Montespaccato - Trastevere	1:2 ✺
18.01.26	Anzio - Montespaccato	0:1 ✺
11.01.26	Montespaccato - Monastir	2:2 ✺
04.01.26	Scafatese - Montespaccato	2:0 ✺
21.12.25	Flaminia Civita Castellana - Montespaccato	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWTLL
- ASD Albalonga
Italian Serie D - Group G
01.02.26	Albalonga - Budoni	3:0 ✺
25.01.26	Palmese 1914 - Albalonga	1:0 ✺
18.01.26	Albalonga - Nocerina	0:1 ✺
11.01.26	Albalonga - Anzio	1:3 ✺
04.01.26	Olbia - Albalonga	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group G
05.10.25	Albalonga - Montespaccato	3:2

Montespaccato - Albalonga: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide