Match Info
Serie D - Group E - Round 11Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Montevarchi |
|
Follonica Gavorrano |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.25 |
3.1 |
2.92 |
|
 |
2.29 |
2.94 |
2.82 |
|
 |
2.33 |
3.34 |
2.75 |
 Watch |
 |
2.27 |
3.15 |
2.91 |
|
 |
2.28 |
3.25 |
2.85 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.28 ↓
(2.3) |
3.16 ↓
(3.28) |
2.85 ↑
(2.76) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Montevarchi
39.6% | Draw
28.7% | Follonica Gavorrano
31.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Montevarchi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Follonica Gavorrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montevarchi than the current prediction. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Follonica Gavorrano than the current prediction. (+2.3%)Montevarchi - Follonica Gavorrano Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 90+1', 0 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: )).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montevarchi won 2.Montevarchi has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).Follonica Gavorrano has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0). The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Montevarchi won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:7. (average 1:0.7).Including home matches between the teams, Montevarchi won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Italian Serie D - Group E | | | 23.03.25 | Follonica Gavorrano - Montevarchi | 1:1 | | 28.01.24 | Montevarchi - Follonica Gavorrano | 1:1 | | 01.10.23 | Follonica Gavorrano - Montevarchi | 1:1 | | 28.03.21 | Montevarchi - Follonica Gavorrano | 3:0 | | 10.02.21 | Follonica Gavorrano - Montevarchi | 0:1 | | 01.03.20 | Montevarchi - Follonica Gavorrano | 1:0 | | 27.10.19 | Follonica Gavorrano - Montevarchi | 1:1 |
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