Match Info

Serie D - Group E - Round 13

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday


	Montevarchi		Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro

	1	X	2
	2.02	3.30	3.40	Watch
	1.99	3.1	3.62
	1.97	3.2	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.97)	3.2 (3.2)	3.46 ↑ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montevarchi
45.5%

Draw
28.3%

Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

27.9%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

27.7%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montevarchi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montevarchi than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Montevarchi - Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 1 - 0, Rosini S. ⚽,
73', 1 - 1, Alagia M. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: )).

Montevarchi has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sansepolcro is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Montevarchi will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Montevarchi won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Montevarchi won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montevarchi Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group E
16.11.25	Poggibonsi - Montevarchi	0:1 ✺
09.11.25	Montevarchi - Follonica Gavorrano	0:1 ✺
02.11.25	Tau Altopascio - Montevarchi	3:0 ✺
26.10.25	Montevarchi - Scandicci	0:0 ✺
19.10.25	Camaiore - Montevarchi	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLLTW
- Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
Italian Serie D - Group E
16.11.25	Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro - Foligno	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Seravezza Pozzi - Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro - Ghiviborgo	1:2 ✺
26.10.25	San Donato Tavarnelle - Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro - Siena	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group E
28.04.24	Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro - Montevarchi	0:1
16.12.23	Montevarchi - Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro	1:1
Italian Serie D - Group D
26.11.17	Montevarchi - Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro	2:0

Montevarchi - Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide