Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 7

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday


	Montijo		Badajoz

	1	X	2
	3.83	3.14	1.98
	3.6	3.05	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.72 ↑ (3.58)	3.1 ↑ (3.08)	2.01 ↓ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montijo
24.7%

Draw
29.6%

Badajoz
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.4%

29.6%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2%

27.6%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montijo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Badajoz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montijo than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Badajoz than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Montijo - Badajoz Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Badajoz (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45', 0 - 1, Barba J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 1 - 1, ⚽,
76', 1 - 2, Pata P. ⚽,

Preview

Played on the field of the visiting team.

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Montijo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Badajoz will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Montijo won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Montijo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Montijo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
12.10.25	Montijo - Pueblonuevo	1:0 ✺
05.10.25	Jerez - Montijo	1:3 ✺
28.09.25	Moralo - Montijo	4:2 ✺
21.09.25	Montijo - Diocesano	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Villafranca - Montijo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWLTL
- CD Badajoz
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
12.10.25	Moralo - Badajoz	1:0 ✺
04.10.25	Badajoz - Diocesano	3:1 ✺
28.09.25	Villafranca - Badajoz	0:2 ✺
21.09.25	Badajoz - Don Benito	0:1 ✺
14.09.25	Santa Amalia - Badajoz	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
23.03.25	Badajoz - Montijo	1:1
10.11.24	Montijo - Badajoz	0:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
21.04.24	Montijo - Badajoz	1:2
10.12.23	Badajoz - Montijo	1:1

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