Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Play Offs - Final

Date: 31 May 2026, Sunday


	Moralo		Badajoz

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.98	2.2
	3.63	2.94	2.48
	3.45	2.61	2.42	Watch
	3	2.75	2.4
	3.46	2.64	2.32
	2.43	3.05	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.18 ↑ (2.43)	2.83 ↓ (3.05)	2.35 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moralo
28.8%

Draw
32.3%

Badajoz
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

27.9%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

27.2%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moralo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Moralo's form might have worsened.

Badajoz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moralo than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Moralo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Badajoz than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Moralo - Badajoz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
54', 0 - 1, Alegria A. ⚽,
84', 0 - 2, Crespo P. ⚽,

Preview

First leg.

Recent performances by Moralo have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Badajoz is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Badajoz may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Moralo won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Moralo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Moralo	5	3	2	0	9:5	4	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moralo CP
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
23.05.26	Moralo - Azuaga	0:0 ✺
17.05.26	Azuaga - Moralo	0:1 ✺
19.04.26	Gévora - Moralo	2:1 ✺
12.04.26	Moralo - Calamonte	1:1 ✺
02.04.26	Puebla de la Calzada - Moralo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TWLTT
- CD Badajoz
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
24.05.26	Badajoz - Jaraíz	2:0 ✺
17.05.26	Jaraíz - Badajoz	1:0 ✺
10.05.26	Badajoz - Gévora	3:0
03.05.26	Calamonte - Badajoz	0:3 ✺
19.04.26	Jaraíz - Badajoz	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
22.02.26	Badajoz - Moralo	0:1
12.10.25	Moralo - Badajoz	1:0
23.02.25	Badajoz - Moralo	2:0
13.10.24	Moralo - Badajoz	1:1

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