Match Info

Date: 20 January 2021, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Montijo		Fontinhas

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Montijo
27.8%

Draw
27.2%

Fontinhas
44.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29.3%

26.2%

44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.3%

20%

58.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montijo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Fontinhas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montijo than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Montijo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fontinhas than the current prediction. (+13.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fontinhas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Limited number of spectators.

Montijo is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Fontinhas is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Montijo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Montijo have a series of home games.

Fontinhas will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olímpico do Montijo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
17.01.21	Montijo - Plasencia	0:0 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
14.01.21	Montijo - Praiense	4:0 ✺
09.01.21	Montijo - Oriental	0:3 ✺
30.12.20	Montijo - Sporting Lisbon B	0:1 ✺
23.12.20	Montijo - Oriental Dragon	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 TWLLL
- GD Fontinhas
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
17.01.21	Estrela da Amadora - Fontinhas	2:1 ✺
10.01.21	Oriental Dragon - Fontinhas	0:1 ✺
20.12.20	Fontinhas - Praiense	2:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
12.12.20	Fontinhas - Fafe	1:2 penalties ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
29.11.20	Fontinhas - Oriental	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 LWWLW

Montijo - Fontinhas