Match Info

Date: 17 January 2021, Sunday


	Estrela da Amadora		Fontinhas

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.7	5.5
	1.53	3.45	5.1
	1.5	3.75	5.6
	1.51	3.85	7.37
	1.51	3.95	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.56)	3.74 ↑ (3.66)	5.87 ↑ (5.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estrela da Amadora
60.1%

Draw
24.4%

Fontinhas
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.6%

25%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

15.8%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estrela da Amadora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Fontinhas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estrela da Amadora than the current prediction. (-23.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Estrela da Amadora that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fontinhas than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fontinhas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Recent matches Estrela is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fontinhas is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Estrela could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Estrela is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Estrela won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estrela da Amadora
Taça de Portugal
12.01.21	Estrela da Amadora - Benfica	0:4 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
09.01.21	Rabo de Peixe - Estrela da Amadora	0:0 ✺
03.01.21	Estrela da Amadora - Fabril do Barreiro	1:0 ✺
20.12.20	Sporting Lisbon B - Estrela da Amadora	0:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
14.12.20	Anadia - Estrela da Amadora	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LTWTW
- GD Fontinhas
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
10.01.21	Oriental Dragon - Fontinhas	0:1 ✺
20.12.20	Fontinhas - Praiense	2:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
12.12.20	Fontinhas - Fafe	1:2 penalties ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
29.11.20	Fontinhas - Oriental	2:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
22.11.20	Limianos - Fontinhas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.9 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
20.09.20	Fontinhas - Estrela da Amadora	1:2

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