Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 1

Date: 8 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade de la Mosson (Montpellier)

Referee: Landry R. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Montpellier		Dijon

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.3	4	Watch
	1.88	3.40	4.10
	1.88	3.35	4.05	Watch
	1.92	3.5	4.4
	1.93	3.44	3.91	Watch
	1.9	3.4	4.2
	1.89	3.39	4.11	Watch
	1.88	3.35	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.68)	3.39 ↓ (3.43)	4.1 ↓ (5.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montpellier
49.6%

Draw
27.6%

Dijon
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

26.8%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montpellier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Montpellier's form might have worsened.

Dijon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	9.1%	0%

Montpellier - Dijon Predictions

Users Predictions: Montpellier will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Ngapandouetnbu S. (G) 3. El Hannach N. 15. Laporte J. (C) 6. Mouanga Y. 17. Sainte-Luce T. 27. Meddah D. 44. Chennahi T. 18. Pays N. 40. Vidal-Cartoux N. 19. Mukiele N. 11. Camara M.	1. Marie-Rose I. (G) 7. Hamada B. 23. Lacroix L. 5. Bernard Q. 31. Faty M. 14. Marie J. (C) 4. Barreto M. 18. Ndezi B. 8. Bellon P. 29. Ntamack A. 10. Barka Y.
Substitutes
32. Abderrebi H. 90. Ayem G. 23. Benlahlou D. 35. Chambon M. 50. Dzodic V. (G) 7. Issoufou Y. 9. Megnan-Pave L.	42. Aka Y. 93. Bouleghcha I. 21. Chouchane S. 6. Diouf W. 9. Dong T. 17. Lembezat A. 11. Tavares J. 20. Vargas-Rios H.
Coaches
Camara Z.	Ridira B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Mukiele N. 🟨,
43', Ndezi B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
63', Meddah D. 🟨,
64', El Hannach N. ↓, Ayem G. ↑,
64', Mukiele N. ↓, Issoufou Y. ↑,
65', Chennahi T. 🟨,
66', Barka Y. ↓, Dong T. ↑,
66', Bellon P. ↓, Lembezat A. ↑,
72', Ndezi B. ↓, Chouchane S. ↑,
73', Barreto M. ↓, Aka Y. ↑,
76', Lembezat A. 🟨,
80', Meddah D. ↓, Abderrebi H. ↑,
82', Ntamack A. ↓, Tavares J. ↑,
85', Camara M. ↓, Megnan-Pave L. ↑,
89', Lacroix L. 🟨,
90', 1 - 0, Mouanga Y. ⚽, Sainte-Luce T. (A),
90+3', 1 - 1, Lembezat A. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montpellier won 2.

Montpellier may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Montpellier is the team to beat.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Montpellier won 2 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:19. (average 1.8:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Montpellier won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:8. (average 2:1.6).

Outrights of French Ligue 2 for now

Montpellier: 4.46% Dijon: 1.44%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Montpellier	7	3	3	1	6:5	1	12
9	Dijon	7	2	3	2	10:10	0	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montpellier HSC
Club Friendly
25.07.26	Clermont - Montpellier	0:1 ✺
22.07.26	Montpellier - Cannes	3:4 ✺
17.07.26	Montpellier - Le Puy	5:2 ✺
11.07.26	Montpellier - Aubagne	3:2 ✺
French Ligue 2
09.05.26	Red Star - Montpellier	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLWWT
- Dijon FC
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Nancy - Dijon	2:2 ✺
25.07.26	Sochaux - Dijon	0:3 ✺
22.07.26	Bourg-Péronnas - Dijon	1:2 ✺
11.07.26	Le Puy - Dijon	1:1 ✺
French Ligue 3
15.05.26	Dijon - Orleans	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
07.02.21	Montpellier - Dijon	4:2
27.09.20	Dijon - Montpellier	2:2
25.01.20	Montpellier - Dijon	2:1
04.12.19	Dijon - Montpellier	2:2
13.01.19	Dijon - Montpellier	1:1
11.08.18	Montpellier - Dijon	1:2
17.03.18	Montpellier - Dijon	2:2

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